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14:57 · Perth

Paul Ferguson's Jumpers To Follow David Whitaker Handicap Chase (GBB Race)

2m 7f 180yGoing TBCClass 24YO plusTURFHandicap9 runners
Ordered by projected finish
4
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 137
11/4
Tamarind Bay silks

Llangoedmor Partnership

Tamarind Bay

6yo Gelding · 11-2

Elusive Pimpernel - Tempest River (Old Vic)

James Bowen60%1/5M Bowen
2311U1
9.0Going 10.0

Has proved a different model since switched to fences, scoring with ease at Stratford and Uttoxeter in June. Looked likely winner when unseating late on here (form franked) before impressively resuming winning ways at Bangor (3m, good) 19 days ago. Hiked up 9 lb but the one to beat again.

Class Advantage

19/11 · C4 · finish vs mark below19/11 · mark par19/1128/02 · C3 · finish vs mark above28/02 · mark par31/03 · C4 · finish vs mark below31/03 · mark par16/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above16/06 · mark par28/06 · C3 · finish vs mark above28/06 · mark par4/09 · C2 · finish vs mark above4/09 · mark par4/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 7f 180y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 33%19/11Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 71%31/03Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 100%28/06Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 100%4/09
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +6.2%Ahead 4/4
2
4
OR 143
5/1
King Of Answers silks

The Kings Counsel

King Of Answers

7yo Gelding · 11-8

Malinas - Queen Of Questions (Bob Back)

D R Fox70%2/6L Russell & M Scudamore60%
51412P
8.0
Cheek pieces

Made great strides as a novice chaser last season when twice a winner at Kelso before an excellent second of 17 in National Hunt Chase at Cheltenham Festival (3¾m). Pulled up on final run in Scottish Grand National at Ayr but interesting on pick of last season's novice form. Yard quiet though.

Class Advantage

25/04 · C3 · finish vs mark below25/04 · mark par25/0411/10 · C3 · finish vs mark below11/10 · mark par7/12 · C3 · finish vs mark above7/12 · mark par16/01 · C3 · finish vs mark below16/01 · mark par13/02 · C2 · finish vs mark above13/02 · mark par10/03 · C2 · finish vs mark below10/03 · mark par10/03projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 7f 180y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 91%25/04Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%7/12Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 100%13/02Pos 2 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 94%10/03
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength96%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +17.0%Ahead 3/4
7
2
OR 131
6/1
Breizh River silks

Border Caravans Ltd

Breizh River

8yo Gelding · 10-10

Stormy River - Ilerda (Lando)

Harry Reed60%3/8T Davidson70%
513213
8.0Going 10.0
Cheek pieces1st Tongue Strap +2

Front runner who gained a third win since joining Tristan Davidson with a game display at Cartmel (21f) in June. Subsequently ran a cracker when third of 13 in the Summer Plate at Market Rasen (21f, good to firm) in July. Well in the mix again in a headgear change off an unchanged mark.

Class Advantage

22/03 · C2 · finish vs mark below22/03 · mark par22/0320/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above20/04 · mark par15/05 · C3 · finish vs mark below15/05 · mark par7/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above7/06 · mark par28/06 · C2 · finish vs mark above28/06 · mark par18/07 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark below18/07 · mark par18/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength3%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 7f 180y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 67%22/03Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 75%15/05Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 89%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 100%28/06Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 83%18/07
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength67%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +3.9%Ahead 3/4
3
7
OR 143
7/1
Etalon silks

Mrs Suzanne Lawrence

Etalon

9yo Gelding · 11-8

Sholokhov - So You Said (Definite Article)

Harry Skelton80%6/20D Skelton60%
291343
6.0
Tongue strap

Course winner who responded well to a combination of cheekpieces and an attacking ride when landing handicap at Ascot (19f) in December. Resumed from a break with a solid third of 7 at Newton Abbot (21f, good to soft) in May. This much longer trip asks a big question though.

Class Advantage

26/10 · C2 · finish vs mark below26/10 · mark par26/1029/11 · C3 · finish vs mark below29/11 · mark par20/12 · C2 · finish vs mark above20/12 · mark par17/01 · C2 · finish vs mark below17/01 · mark par21/02 · C2 · finish vs mark below21/02 · mark par6/05 · C2 · finish vs mark below6/05 · mark par6/05projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 7f 180y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 83%26/10Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 11%Pos 1 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 1 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 100%20/12Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 63%21/02Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 67%6/05
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength99%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +35.3%Ahead 3/4
9
5
OR 123
12/1
Walk On Quest silks

The Crick Girls

Walk On Quest

7yo Gelding · 10-2

Walk In The Park - Aure Antique (Network)

P W Wadge60%0/1L Russell & M Scudamore
6P2182
6.0
Tongue strap

Landed the odds in 3-runner chase at Kelso (23f) in May. Got back on track with second of 7 in handicap chase over C&D in July but needs to back it up now in this more exacting company. Stable without a win in over 2 months too.

Class Advantage

11/12 · C4 · finish vs mark below11/12 · mark par11/1222/01 · C3 · finish vs mark below22/01 · mark par20/04 · C3 · finish vs mark below20/04 · mark par6/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above6/05 · mark par7/06 · C2 · finish vs mark below7/06 · mark par12/07 · C3 · finish vs mark below12/07 · mark par12/07projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 7f 180y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 88%11/12Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 80%20/04Pos 1 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 100%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 22%7/06Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 83%12/07
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength78%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +19.9%Ahead 4/4
8
3
OR 127
10/1
Caughtinyourtrance silks

Spencer Brown And Steven Sankey

Caughtinyourtrance

7yo Gelding · 10-6

Ocovango - Loyalty Card (Daylami)

Leah Noreci60%−7lbJames Moffatt70%
P22112
8.0Going 10.0
1st Cheekpieces +2Tongue strap

Versatile sort who has returned better than ever, following up his narrow success in small-field Cartmel chase (25f) with a gutsy win in handicap hurdle (2¾m) there. Posted a very good second of 5 back chasing at the same track (25f, good to soft) last time. Considered.

Class Advantage

28/03 · C3 · finish vs mark below28/03 · mark par28/0323/05 · C3 · finish vs mark below23/05 · mark par27/05 · C3 · finish vs mark below27/05 · mark par26/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above26/06 · mark par18/07 · C3 · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par31/08 · C3 · finish vs mark below31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength1%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 7f 180y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 67%28/03Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 2 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 2 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 50%27/05Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%18/07Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 75%31/08
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength21%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -6.1%Ahead 2/4
5
8
OR 133
7/1
Boston Rover silks

Mr D J Barry

Boston Rover

7yo Gelding · 10-12

Rajj - Noble Taty (Acclamation)

S Bowen80%G Elliott
111P5P
6.0

Irish chaser who progressed well over fences last autumn, completing a hat-trick at Gowran (2½m) in October. Resumed from 9 months off with fifth in Midlands National at Kilbeggan but pulled up in handicap chase at Killarney (21f, good to soft) since. Has a bit to prove now.

Class Advantage

15/12 · C11 · finish vs mark below15/12 · mark par15/1222/05 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a9/06 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a23/08 · C8 · finish vs mark above23/08 · mark par4/10 · C13 · finish vs mark above4/10 · mark par10/07 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark below10/07 · mark par10/07projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲3
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 7f 180y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 86%15/12Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 80%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%9/06Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 100%4/10Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 69%10/07
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength83%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +26.2%Ahead 4/4
6
6
OR 132
12/1
El Rio silks

Rio Grandees

El Rio

9yo Gelding · 10-11

Elusive Pimpernel - Princess Jaffa (Zaffaran)

C Gethings2/2K Bailey & M Nicholls
113133
6.0

Much improved switched to fences in 2024/25, winning 3 of his 5 starts. Off (reportedly struck into) since a reappearance third in handicap chase at Market Rasen (21f, good) 12 months ago. This likeable front runner is capable fresh but this is still no easy ask.

Class Advantage

8/10 · C4 · finish vs mark above8/10 · mark par8/1010/11 · C3 · finish vs mark above10/11 · mark par26/12 · C3 · finish vs mark below26/12 · mark par7/02 · C3 · finish vs mark above7/02 · mark par2/03 · C3 · finish vs mark below2/03 · mark par27/09 · C3 · finish vs mark below27/09 · mark par27/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength7%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 7f 180y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%8/10Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 71%26/12Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 3 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 60%2/03Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 60%27/09
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength33%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -2.1%Ahead 2/4
1
9
OR 149
8/1
The Real Whacker silks

Neville, Mann, Duffus & Dennis-price

The Real Whacker

10yo Gelding · 12-0

Mahler - Credit Box (Witness Box)

B S Hughes60%1/6P Neville80%
4256P3
6.0Class ↓2
1st Blinkers +3Tongue strap

Charlie Hall winner at Wetherby in 2024 but has largely found life tough since. Much better signs when third of 10 over C&D (good to soft) in June, going with enthusiasm in refitted cheekpieces and collared only late. Blinkers on now from career-low mark and he could get his own way in front.

Class Advantage

14/03 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below14/03 · mark par14/033/04 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below3/04 · mark par25/09 · C2 · finish vs mark below25/09 · mark par1/11 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below1/11 · mark par1/01 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below1/01 · mark par7/06 · C2 · finish vs mark below7/06 · mark par7/06projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength43%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 7f 180y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 50%14/03Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 67%25/09Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 0%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%1/01Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 78%7/06
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength48%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -21.1%Ahead 1/4