15:55 · Kempton

Unibet/EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) (Div 2)

1mStandardClass 42YO onlyPOLYTRACK9 runners
Ordered by projected finish
4
Market FavTop Pick1
4/9
Pure Concept silks

Ace Stud

3yo Colt · 9-4

Lucky Vega - Pure Nature (Dansili)

S M Levey70%R Hannon60%
2
8.0Class ↓1

Foaled April 9. Lucky Vega colt. Half-brother to winner abroad by Mehmas. Did best of the newcomers when second of 8 in a Kempton novice (1m) 4 weeks ago, sticking to his task like one who'll be suited by further. Sets a clear standard on that effort and ought to take some stopping.

Class Advantage

26/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a26/08
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength10%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 100%Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 86%26/08
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +69.9%Ahead 1/1
6
2
3/1
Beryozka silks

Cheveley Park Stud

2yo Filly · 9-2

Ulysses - Barynya (Pivotal)

Jason Watson70%A M Balding80%
No form3.0

Foaled April 11. Ulysses filly. Closely related to 7f winner Red Astaire and half-sister to several winners, including smart winner up to 1m Zonderland and useful 1¼m winner Whitlock. Makes appeal on paper for top stable and noteworthy if the betting speaks in her favour on debut.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

Projected finish2nd of 988% of field
NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend
Strength84%
1
4
16/1
Cashinoroyale silks

Trade Wins

2yo Colt · 9-7

Palace Pier - Queensferry (Flintshire)

P Cosgrave60%George Baker
4
3.0Class ↓1
Tongue strap

52,000 gns 2-y-o, Palace Pier colt who makes some appeal on paper and he showed ability at long odds when fourth of 7 in a Salisbury novice (1m) 3 weeks ago, plugging on. Likely improver but he may well be one for later on.

Class Advantage

3/09 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a3/09
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength22%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 50%3/09
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 2-7 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength41%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +50.0%Ahead 1/1
8
3
25/1
Renascent silks

Mr Scott Thompson

2yo Filly · 8-13

Sottsass - Social Network (Australia)

Finley Marsh70%R Hughes80%
No form3.0

Foaled March 22. Sottsass filly. Half-sister to Italian 10.7f winner Mister Mas. Dam, third at 1m, half-sister to useful winner up to 11f Mitama out of smart 1½m winner Mona Lisa. Pedigree suggests middle distances will suit but another warranting a market check on racecourse bow.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

Projected finish4th of 963% of field
NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend
Strength0%
2
6
25/1
Notimetotakeoff silks

Mr Jaber Abdullah

2yo Colt · 9-7

No Nay Never - Llew Law (Verglas)

Callum Shepherd70%0/1C Johnston
0
2.0

No Nay Never colt who was well held starting out in a 7f novice here 19 days ago. Passed over.

Class Advantage

4/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a4/09
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 100%Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 17%4/09
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 9-14 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength8%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +16.7%Ahead 1/1
9
5
66/1
Sueboys silks

Nick Bradley Racing 15

2yo Filly · 8-13

Calyx - Galeaza (Galileo)

S Donohoe0/1Ollie Sangster
0
2.0

Calyx filly who was soon detached (very green) when well beaten last of 13 in a Kempton novice (7f) on debut 3 weeks ago. Another who will make little appeal this side of handicaps.

Class Advantage

4/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a4/09
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 100%Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 13 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 0%4/09
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 11-16 · 50%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.0%Ahead 0/1
3
7
33/1
Cinq Coins silks

Groves Martin Parker Walsh And William

2yo Gelding · 9-4

Territories - Sonnellino (Singspiel)

Joe Leavy60%R A Teal
5
2.0

Son of Territories who is related to winners but he proved too green when last of 5 in a Brighton novice (7f) on debut 7 weeks ago. This ought to reveal more (has undergone gelding operation).

Class Advantage

6/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a6/08
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 1m

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 0%6/08
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 3-8 · 50%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.0%Ahead 0/1
7
8
20/1
Perfect Love silks

Basher Watts Racing 8

2yo Filly · 8-13

Palace Pier - Toujours L'amour (Authorized)

Alistair Rawlinson0/1M Appleby
80
2.0

Hopelessly green on debut at Wolverhampton (7f) and similarly looked like one for further down the line when well held at Yarmouth (7f) 24 days ago.

Class Advantage

21/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a21/0730/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a30/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 2
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 50%Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 8 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 13%21/07Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%30/08
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 9-9 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +3.6%Ahead 1/2
5
9
50/1
There Goes My Hero silks

Mr Keiran Burke

2yo Gelding · 9-4

Rumble Inthejungle - Myladyjane (Mastercraftsman)

J Mitchell60%Kieran Burke
07
2.0Class ↓1

Failed to beat a rival either start in all-weather/turf novice events in recent months and he's a likely type for low-grade handicaps moving forward.

Class Advantage

6/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a6/073/09 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a3/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 2
Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength22%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 50%Dist: 1m · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 0%6/07Pos 7 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 0%3/09
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 9-9 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.0%Ahead 0/2