17:43 · Churchill Downs

Race 3 - Claiming

6f3YO plusDIRT9 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 98
5/2
Doctor Jeff silks

Fas Racing And Sharp, Joe

7yo Gelding · 8-9

Street Boss - Wild Bea (Wild Rush)

Jose Ortiz60%Joe Sharp80%
543455
4.0Going 9.0Class ↓7

Class Advantage

3/07 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below3/07 · mark par3/072/08 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below2/08 · mark par21/08 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below21/08 · mark par25/06 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below25/06 · mark par26/07 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below26/07 · mark par22/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below22/08 · mark par22/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength53%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 43%3/07Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 71%21/08Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 63%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 33%26/07Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 43%22/08
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength75%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -6.0%Ahead 2/4
4
Value2
OR 91
8/1
Secured Lender silks

Jd Thoroughbreds Llc

5yo Gelding · 8-9

Omaha Beach - Satisfaction (Awesome Again)

Rafael Bejarano60%Chris Hartman80%
596157
4.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

27/11 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below27/11 · mark par27/1126/12 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below26/12 · mark par20/02 · C8 · finish vs mark below20/02 · mark par4/04 · C8 · finish vs mark above4/04 · mark par1/05 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below1/05 · mark par5/06 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below5/06 · mark par5/06projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength42%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 5 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 33%27/11Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 11%Pos 6 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 6 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 17%20/02Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 50%1/05Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%5/06
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength32%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -27.6%Ahead 1/4
2
4
OR 92
3/1
Social Hour silks

David Jacobson

4yo Gelding · 8-9

Practical Joke - Rumandice (Congrats)

Tyler Gaffalione60%David Jacobson
325535
5.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

26/02 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below26/02 · mark par26/0221/03 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below21/03 · mark par17/04 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below17/04 · mark par28/05 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below28/05 · mark par18/06 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below18/06 · mark par25/07 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below25/07 · mark par25/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength48%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 2 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 80%26/02Pos 3 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 3 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 60%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 86%17/04Pos 5 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 5 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 20%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 33%18/06Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 50%25/07
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength52%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -23.7%Ahead 1/4
6
5
OR 92
9/2
Lucky Shot silks

Salvino Racing Llc And Banks, Chris

7yo Gelding · 8-9

Trappe Shot - Glamour Manor (Unbridled's Song)

Santiago Gonzalez60%Chris Banks60%
714212
4.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

21/08 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below21/08 · mark par21/085/02 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below5/02 · mark par7/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below7/03 · mark par17/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below17/04 · mark par17/06 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below17/06 · mark par4/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below4/07 · mark par4/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength36%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 40%21/08Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 22%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 11%7/03Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 25%17/06Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 80%4/07
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 3-6 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength57%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -16.7%Ahead 0/4
9
7
OR 91
6/1
Miacomet silks

Gustavo Esquivel

8yo Horse · 8-9

Flatter - Rebelle (Hard Spun)

Mario Gutierrez60%0/7Gustavo Esquivel
865484
4.0

Class Advantage

10/01 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below10/01 · mark par10/0124/04 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below24/04 · mark par23/05 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below23/05 · mark par21/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below21/06 · mark par12/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below12/07 · mark par31/07 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below31/07 · mark par31/07projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength37%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%10/01Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 20%23/05Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%12/07Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 40%31/07
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength87%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +13.2%Ahead 3/4
3
3
OR 93
15/1
League Of Legends silks

Iron Horse Racing Llc (clark) And Fires, William H

9yo Gelding · 8-9

Atreides - Fine Instincts (Tale Of The Cat)

Francisco Arrieta1/6Randy Morse
656317
6.0

Class Advantage

15/02 · C8 · finish vs mark below15/02 · mark par15/0224/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below24/04 · mark par16/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below16/05 · mark par31/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below31/05 · mark par19/06 · C8 · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par12/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below12/07 · mark par12/07projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength6%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 44%15/02Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%16/05Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 100%19/06Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 14%12/07
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 7-9 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -14.5%Ahead 1/4
8
8
OR 84
10/1
Banidoso silks

Jim Tichenor

4yo Gelding · 8-9

Vekoma - Ms Delfy (Dixie Union)

Luan MachadoKelly Fernandez
211512
5.0

Class Advantage

11/12 · C8 · finish vs mark below11/12 · mark par11/124/01 · C8 · finish vs mark below4/01 · mark par12/02 · C8 · finish vs mark below12/02 · mark par26/02 · C8 · finish vs mark below26/02 · mark par19/03 · C8 · finish vs mark above19/03 · mark par27/07 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below27/07 · mark par27/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength15%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 7 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 40%11/12Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 73%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 56%12/02Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 91%Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 100%19/03Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 20%27/07
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength35%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -5.3%Ahead 2/4
5
6
OR 84
10/1
Glint silks

Premier Stable

5yo Gelding · 8-9

Street Sense - Classic Point (Flatter)

Luis Rivera Jr60%0/2Panagiotis Synnefias60%
678613
5.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

8/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below8/05 · mark par8/0525/05 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below25/05 · mark par27/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below27/06 · mark par17/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below17/07 · mark par1/08 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par28/08 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below28/08 · mark par28/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength33%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 17%8/05Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 0%27/06Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 17%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%1/08Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 50%28/08
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength8%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -30.4%Ahead 1/4
7
9
OR 86
15/1
Saint In The City silks

Louisville Bred Racing

6yo Gelding · 8-9

Mendelssohn - Overly Tempting (In Excess)

Edgar Morales60%0/1Thomas Van60%
075484
3.0

Class Advantage

7/05 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below7/05 · mark par7/0522/06 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below22/06 · mark par14/07 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below14/07 · mark par25/03 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below25/03 · mark par24/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below24/05 · mark par10/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below10/06 · mark par10/06projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength39%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 57%7/05Pos 10 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 10%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 14%14/07Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 40%24/05Pos 8 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 8 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 36%10/06
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength12%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -0.2%Ahead 2/4