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15:32 · Perth

Thank You To Kinneston Owners Handicap Chase

2m 4f 20yGoing TBCClass 54YO plusTURFHandicap9 runners
Ordered by projected finish
5
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 98
5/4
Delgany Second Now silks

Mrs Rachel Wilson

Delgany Second Now

4yo Gelding · 11-1

Jack Hobbs - Pretty Neat (Topanoora)

Harry Skelton80%3/5D Skelton60%
775111
8.0

Has made a faultless start in handicaps, following up his Stratford (2¾m) victory in smooth style at Fontwell 3 days later before effortlessly cashing in on a lower mark over fences at Bangor 19 days ago, cruising clear. New mark has kicked in but he's open to lots of progress.

Class Advantage

17/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a17/061/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a22/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a25/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above25/08 · mark par28/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above28/08 · mark par4/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/09 · mark par4/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength36%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 20y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 14%17/06Pos 7 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 5 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 50%22/07Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%28/08Pos 1 · SP 4/9 | Expected: 98%Pos 1 · SP 4/9 | Actual: 100%4/09
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +25.9%Ahead 4/4
7
2
OR 81
4/1
Didntgotwenty silks

Mr J W Hazeldean

Didntgotwenty

7yo Gelding · 10-9

Soldier Of Fortune - Brogarais (Presenting)

Ryan Mania60%M Todhunter60%
735521
7.0
Cheek pieces

Winless following 7 attempts over hurdles but opened chase account at the third attempt in good style at Musselburgh (2½m, good to soft) in February. 9 lb rise doesn't look prohibitive all things considered so much depends on whether he returns in that sort of form.

Class Advantage

8/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above8/03 · mark par8/033/10 · C5 · finish vs mark above3/10 · mark par1/11 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/11 · mark par1/12 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/12 · mark par1/01 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/01 · mark par15/02 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/02 · mark par15/02projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength14%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 20y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 60%8/03Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 80%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 50%1/11Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 60%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 83%1/01Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 100%15/02
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength65%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -8.8%Ahead 1/4
8
3
OR 79
9/2
Roi Du Roume silks

DJ & HIK Partnership

Roi Du Roume

6yo Gelding · 10-7

Authorized - Conakry (American Post)

S Bowen80%0/3M Bowen80%
344262
6.0Going 8.0
BlinkersTongue strap

Improved from chase debut fitted with cheekpieces/tongue strap when second in a Cartmel handicap in June. Quick turnaround possibly caught him out over hurdles later that month and having had a breathing operation, he saw it out well over fences when second 3 weeks ago. Shortlisted.

Class Advantage

22/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above22/04 · mark par22/0424/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above24/04 · mark par27/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below27/05 · mark par26/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above26/06 · mark par28/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below28/06 · mark par29/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength14%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 20y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 78%22/04Pos 4 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 4 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 57%Pos 4 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 4 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 25%27/05Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 44%28/06Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 90%29/08
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength50%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -25.5%Ahead 1/4
4
6
OR 88
14/1
Walk On Son silks

Mr John R Adam

Walk On Son

6yo Gelding · 11-2

Walk In The Park - Walkyrie (Sleeping Car)

D R Fox70%0/1L Russell & M Scudamore60%
4P984P
4.0
Tongue strap

Lost his way after hitting the frame in a novice/maiden at the end of last year and hasn't fared any better in handicaps following a breathing operation. In very capable hands as he now goes chasing but has plenty to prove back up in distance.

Class Advantage

24/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a24/0916/10 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a14/11 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a6/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below6/03 · mark par24/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below24/04 · mark par9/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below9/05 · mark par9/05projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength40%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 20y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 40%24/09Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 63%14/11Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 27%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 22%24/04Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 63%9/05
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength79%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +28.5%Ahead 3/4
3
4
OR 89
20/1
Hawkseye View silks

Abbadis Racing & D A Harrison Racing

Hawkseye View

7yo Gelding · 11-3

Telescope - Noir Girl (Beat All)

Peter Kavanagh0/8Miss L Harrison
41F048
4.0Class ↓3

Finally got off the mark under Rules in a Newcastle handicap chase in March but expensive to follow otherwise, going in snatches/never dangerous when fourth of 5 in handicap chase at Newcastle (2½m, good to firm) in April. Hard to draw many positives from stable debut over hurdles 16 days ago.

Class Advantage

26/12 · C5 · finish vs mark below26/12 · mark par26/1216/02 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above16/02 · mark par3/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above3/03 · mark par22/03 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above22/03 · mark par11/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below11/04 · mark par7/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength42%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 20y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 16/5 | Expected: 83%Pos 5 · SP 16/5 | Actual: 43%26/12Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%3/03Pos 10 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 10 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 25%11/04Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 22%7/09
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 6-9 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -1.7%Ahead 3/4
2
5
OR 93
8/1
Burning It Up silks

Mr H W Turcan

Burning It Up

6yo Gelding · 11-7

Milan - Burnt It Up (Scorpion)

Bruce Lynn0/7N W Alexander60%
54P827
5.0
1st Tongue Strap +2

Expensive to follow over hurdles last season but did find only one too good in first-time cheekpieces at Newcastle in January. Easy to excuse Ayr run a month later and a tongue tie replaces cheekpieces ahead of this chase debut.

Class Advantage

25/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above25/04 · mark par25/0425/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below25/09 · mark par21/10 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below21/10 · mark par2/01 · C5 · finish vs mark below2/01 · mark par27/01 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/01 · mark par10/02 · C5 · finish vs mark below10/02 · mark par10/02projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 20y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 91%25/04Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 57%21/10Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 61%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 89%27/01Pos 7 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 7 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 25%10/02
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 5-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength13%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -7.8%Ahead 2/4
6
7
OR 81
16/1
Wearelongterm silks

Mr Dennis J Coppola & Mrs Dianne Saye

Wearelongterm

9yo Gelding · 10-9

Milan - Fair Ina (Taipan)

Charlie Maggs60%0/4−3lbMrs Dianne Sayer60%
635P7U
4.0
Cheek pieces

Long-standing maiden under Rules and hasn't returned in much form at Cartmel this summer.

Class Advantage

25/10 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/10 · mark par25/108/11 · C5 · finish vs mark above8/11 · mark par8/12 · C5 · finish vs mark below8/12 · mark par1/01 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above1/01 · mark par15/02 · C5 · finish vs mark below15/02 · mark par20/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below20/07 · mark par20/07projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 20y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 71%25/10Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 50%8/12Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 20%15/02Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 25%20/07
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 5-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength20%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +6.1%Ahead 2/4
1
8
OR 100
20/1
Wherearethejudges silks

Janet Lowther & Michelle Charlton

Wherearethejudges

6yo Gelding · 12-0

Elusive Pimpernel - Rathmuck Rita (Danroad)

Callum Bewley0/1D Bourke
458P
3.0

Made the frame in a point and showed a bit on hurdles debut in November. Well held both starts during the winter and switches to a handicap for chasing debut/ reappearance.

Class Advantage

30/11 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a30/112/01 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a2/01projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength45%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 20y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 64%30/11Pos 8 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 30%2/01
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 9-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +46.8%Ahead 2/2
9
9
OR 76
25/1
Burgundy Man silks

Miss P A Carnaby

Burgundy Man

9yo Gelding · 10-4

Manduro - Kapirovska (Muhtathir)

Toby Wynne60%0/1R M Smith
6P9PP6
4.0Class ↓4

Made a successful chasing debut on testing ground here in October. Has gone the wrong way since, however.

Class Advantage

24/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above24/09 · mark par24/0921/10 · C5 · finish vs mark above21/10 · mark par2/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below2/04 · mark par23/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below23/04 · mark par7/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below7/06 · mark par7/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 4f 20y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 78%24/09Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 56%2/04Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 33%7/06Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 29%7/09
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 8-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -6.9%Ahead 2/4