13:12 · Perth

Harvesting What Matters Most Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)

2m 47yGoing TBCClass 44YO plusTURF10 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Top Pick1
OR 119
9/4
Gambino silks

Mr Des Grech

5yo Gelding · 11-12

Churchill - Little Kodi (Kodiac)

Harry Skelton80%2/3D Skelton60%
311
8.0Going 9.0

Showed plenty when behind a fairly useful pair with experience on hurdling debut at Newbury in March. Made the most of a couple of good openings at Cartmel (17f) this summer but will likely need to pull out more if he's to give weight and a beating to Chicker.

Class Advantage

13/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below13/08 · mark par13/0820/02 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/02 · mark par21/03 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/04 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/04 · mark par20/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a29/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength41%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 47y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 83%13/08Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 71%21/03Pos 7 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 7 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 50%Pos 1 · SP 4/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 4/6 | Actual: 100%20/07Pos 1 · SP 30/100 | Expected: 98%Pos 1 · SP 30/100 | Actual: 100%29/08
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength69%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -7.5%Ahead 1/4
3
Market Fav2
6/4
Jet Of Stars silks

Fyffe & Russell

5yo Gelding · 11-0

Jet Away - Gilt Ridden (Heron Island)

B S Hughes60%1/1L Russell & M Scudamore
11
10.0

Jet Away gelding who was bought for £230,000 after winning his sole outing in points. Landed short odds in a small-field Ayr bumper (heavy) in March and rates a very interesting recruit to hurdles.

Class Advantage

7/03 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a7/03
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 47y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 2/5 | Expected: 98%Pos 1 · SP 2/5 | Actual: 100%7/03
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-4 · 50%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength93%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +2.1%Ahead 1/1
2
3
15/8
Chicker silks

Actionclad 2001 Ltd

5yo Gelding · 11-7

Frontiersman - Arrucian (Medicean)

Fern O'Brien60%1/1−5lbF O'Brien
116001
6.0Class ↓4Going 8.0

Dual bumper winner who struck at the first time of asking over hurdles in 2½m Uttoxeter novice (good to soft) in May. That form was boosted when the runner-up won next time and he's open to progress back from a break.

Class Advantage

31/08 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a31/0825/10 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a16/11 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a11/03 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a11/04 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below11/04 · mark par16/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a16/05projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move2
Strength72%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 47y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%31/08Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 6 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 6 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 58%16/11Pos 18 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 18 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 15%Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 47%11/04Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%16/05
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +12.1%Ahead 3/4
9
4
OR 99
25/1
Hunters Spring silks

Mr R Gibbons

5yo Mare · 10-7

Nayef - Last Supper (Echo Of Light)

P W Wadge60%L Russell & M Scudamore
2443UP
6.0Going 8.0

Bumper winner but yet to better modest form over hurdles and given a break since pulling up (found to have sustained an overreach) over 2½m here 133 days ago.

Class Advantage

15/11 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a15/1111/02 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a15/03 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a21/10 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a11/12 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a28/02 · C4 · finish vs mark below28/02 · mark par28/02projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 47y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 100%15/11Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 75%15/03Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 40%11/12Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 71%28/02
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 8-10 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -12.8%Ahead 1/4
10
6
50/1
Zebra Star silks

Loudoun Zebras

6yo Mare · 10-7

Gregorian - Queen Zain (Lawman)

Ben Smith60%−7lbR M Smith
No form2.0
Hood

Modest Flat winner who has largely struggled in that sphere this year and rates an outsider now making a rather belated switch to hurdles.

Class Advantage

5/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/05 · mark par5/056/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/06 · mark par19/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par5/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/07 · mark par8/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par27/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par27/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move2
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 47y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 9 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 20%5/05Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 63%19/06Pos 9 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 9 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 11%Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 27%8/08Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%27/08
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 6-10 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength10%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -8.3%Ahead 1/4
7
5
20/1
Champagne Powder silks

Spencer Brown And Steven Sankey

4yo Gelding · 10-12

Kodiac - Grace And Danger (Teofilo)

Leah Noreci60%−7lbJames Moffatt
5
3.0Class ↓3

Fairly useful 1m winner on all-weather for Oliver Cole. Didn't get home when fifth of 9 on 17f Cartmel hurdle debut last month.

Class Advantage

11/12 · C5 · finish vs mark above11/12 · mark par11/128/01 · C4 · finish vs mark above8/01 · mark par6/02 · C4 · finish vs mark above6/02 · mark par6/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above6/04 · mark par23/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below23/05 · mark par29/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a29/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength4%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 47y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 100%11/12Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 75%Pos 8 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 8 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 36%6/02Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 11 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 11 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 0%23/05Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 50%29/08
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 8-10 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -21.2%Ahead 1/4
6
9
100/1
Secret Soldier silks

Mr A B Hamilton

6yo Gelding · 11-0

Soldier Of Fortune - Takeyourcapoff (King's Theatre)

D R Fox70%A B Hamilton60%
74
2.0

Offered something to work on when mid-field in Cork bumper for Gordon Elliott in July 2024 but not seen again until last of 4 in a C&D novice hurdle for this yard 16 days ago.

Class Advantage

5/07 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a5/077/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a7/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 47y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 54%5/07Pos 4 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 0%7/09
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 9-9 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength12%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -6.0%Ahead 0/2
8
8
50/1
Moon Reign silks

Mr K Little

4yo Gelding · 10-12

Sea The Moon - Crystal Zvezda (Dubawi)

Murray Dodd60%0/1−5lbI Jardine
7
2.0

Fair maiden on the Flat in Ireland for Joseph O'Brien but no real promise on C&D hurdle debut for new yard in July.

Class Advantage

2/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a2/0822/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a22/0913/10 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a13/102/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a2/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move3
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 47y · 25%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 80%2/08Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 71%22/09Pos 6 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 6 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 50%13/10Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 25%2/07
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 5-10 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength1%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -6.2%Ahead 2/4
4
7
50/1
Master Jack silks

Clouds Of Orton

5yo Gelding · 11-0

Jack Hobbs - Rose Row (Act One)

Danny McMenamin80%A Wilson60%
67
2.0

Modest form at best in 2 bumpers last winter and best watched now hurdling after 7 months off.

Class Advantage

15/01 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a15/0113/02 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a13/02projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 47y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 64%15/01Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 25%13/02
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 10-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +44.6%Ahead 2/2
5
10
200/1
Plane Sailing silks

Mrs Janet Lowther

6yo Gelding · 11-0

Jet Away - Pennywise (Westerner)

Callum BewleyD Bourke70%
8PP
2.0
1st Tongue Strap +2

Backed into 11/4 but folded quickly on Hexham bumper debut in April 2025. Pulled in 2 maiden hurdles over the winter and likely outsider on return. Tongue tied first time.

Class Advantage

14/04 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a14/04
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 2m 47y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 8 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 0%14/04
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 6-11 · 50%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -85.5%Ahead 0/1