17:20 · Thistledown

Race 2 - Claiming

5f 110y3YO plusDIRT6 runners
Ordered by projected finish
6
2
OR 25
10/3
Silver Brook silks

James Jackson

3yo Filly · 8-7

Twinspired - Lipstick Stain (Arromanches)

Jason Simpson60%1/1James Jackson60%
545551
6.0

Class Advantage

13/07 · C9 · finish vs mark above13/07 · mark par13/0713/08 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/08 · mark par13/0824/08 · C9 · finish vs mark above24/08 · mark par24/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 5 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 33%13/07Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 50%13/08Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%24/08
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -14.6%Ahead 2/3
5
Top Pick1
OR 29
6/1
Truest Air silks

Michael Rone

3yo Filly · 8-3

Air Strike - True Cinder (Alcindor)

Erik Barbaran60%0/1Michael Rone
225186
5.0

Class Advantage

4/05 · C9 · finish vs mark below4/05 · mark par4/052/06 · C9 · finish vs mark above2/06 · mark par2/07 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above2/07 · mark par13/07 · C9 · finish vs mark above13/07 · mark par11/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below11/08 · mark par1/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below1/09 · mark par1/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Class readCOMPETITIVE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength28%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 2 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 83%4/05Pos 2 · SP 4/5 | Expected: 96%Pos 2 · SP 4/5 | Actual: 80%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 0%2/07Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 8 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 8 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 0%11/08Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 17%1/09
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength31%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -32.3%Ahead 1/4
7
3
OR 27
6/1
Greek Boutique silks

Carolyn Morrow

4yo Filly · 8-7

Cowtown Cat - Becker County Miss (Langfuhr)

Luis Batista60%Oscar Romero
421787
5.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

1/07 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a1/076/08 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/08 · mark par12/09 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par23/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/10 · mark par1/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above1/07 · mark par26/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above26/08 · mark par26/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move2
Strength88%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 50%1/07Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 86%Pos 1 · SP 4/9 | Expected: 98%Pos 1 · SP 4/9 | Actual: 100%12/09Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 14%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%1/07Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%26/08
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 3-6 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength34%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -21.5%Ahead 1/4
4
4
OR 29
12/1
Gemshine silks

Sagewood Racing

6yo Mare · 8-7

Snag - Striking Jewel (Savin Eyes)

Deshawn Parker60%0/4Johanna Urieta
664444
5.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

25/05 · C8 · finish vs mark above25/05 · mark par25/0529/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below29/06 · mark par7/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below7/07 · mark par20/07 · C8 · finish vs mark above20/07 · mark par11/08 · C8 · finish vs mark above11/08 · mark par1/09 · C8 · finish vs mark above1/09 · mark par1/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Class readCOMPETITIVE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength30%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%25/05Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 40%7/07Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 57%11/08Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 50%1/09
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength87%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +37.9%Ahead 4/4
2
6
OR 31
15/2
Canela Fina silks

Geovani Peralta

6yo Mare · 8-7

Corfu - Beautiful Latina (Spring At Last)

Rocco Bowen60%0/1Johanna Urieta70%
785765
3.0Class ↓3
1st Blinkers +3

Class Advantage

20/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/04 · mark par20/048/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below8/06 · mark par29/06 · C8 · finish vs mark above29/06 · mark par20/07 · C8 · finish vs mark above20/07 · mark par11/08 · C8 · finish vs mark above11/08 · mark par1/09 · C8 · finish vs mark above1/09 · mark par1/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Class readCOMPETITIVE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength42%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%20/04Pos 8 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 8 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 0%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 20%29/06Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 14%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 29%11/08Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 33%1/09
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength89%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +12.2%Ahead 3/4
3
Market Fav5
OR 51
11/10
Miss Lora Ann silks

Executive Management Llc

3yo Filly · 8-3

Dreamliner - Showtime Girl (Discreetly Mine)

Jose Bracho60%Yoni Orantes60%
273232
4.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

10/09 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above10/09 · mark par10/099/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above9/10 · mark par3/11 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/11 · mark par24/11 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above24/11 · mark par11/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/05 · mark par11/05projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move2
Strength95%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 40%10/09Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 14%9/10Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%3/11Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 67%24/11Pos 9 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 9 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 0%11/05
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 3-6 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength33%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -13.3%Ahead 2/4