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20:19 · Churchill Downs

Race 8 - Allowance

1m 110y3YO plusDIRT10 runners
Ordered by projected finish
4
Top Pick1
OR 97
12/1
Gamblers Tail silks

Omaha Equine Inc

Gamblers Tail

5yo Gelding · 8-10

Hightail - Gamblers Rose (Pulpit)

Luis Saez60%John Ortiz60%
503543
5.0

Class Advantage

27/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below27/07 · mark par27/074/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below4/09 · mark par28/05 · C7 · finish vs mark below28/05 · mark par21/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below21/06 · mark par4/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below4/08 · mark par31/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 20%27/07Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 10%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 60%28/05Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 63%4/08Pos 3 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 3 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 67%31/08
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 2-10 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength43%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +2.5%Ahead 2/4
1
4
OR 92
15/1
Fear Of Union silks

Let It Ride Equine Holdings Iv Llc

Fear Of Union

6yo Gelding · 8-10

Union Rags - Holidays Saratoga (Harlan's Holiday)

Cristian Torres60%S Cunningham60%
911377
4.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

14/02 · C8 · finish vs mark below14/02 · mark par14/0226/03 · C8 · finish vs mark above26/03 · mark par16/04 · C7 · finish vs mark above16/04 · mark par14/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above14/05 · mark par26/06 · C7 · finish vs mark below26/06 · mark par9/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below9/07 · mark par9/07projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 9 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%14/02Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 100%16/04Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 40%26/06Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 14%9/07
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength49%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +17.1%Ahead 3/4
9
Market Fav6
OR 106
8/5
Pagode silks

Carl R Moore Management, LLC

Pagode

4yo Gelding · 8-10

Constitution - Pretty Girl (Harlan's Holiday)

Jose Ortiz60%Joe Sharp
202222
6.0Going 8.0Class ↓4

Class Advantage

30/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below30/04 · mark par30/047/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below7/06 · mark par30/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below30/08 · mark par19/10 · C5 · finish vs mark below19/10 · mark par16/11 · C5 · finish vs mark below16/11 · mark par13/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below13/06 · mark par13/06projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 4/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 2 · SP 4/6 | Actual: 80%30/04Pos 10 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 10 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 10%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 80%30/08Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 86%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 86%16/11Pos 2 · SP 4/5 | Expected: 96%Pos 2 · SP 4/5 | Actual: 67%13/06
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength69%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -2.3%Ahead 1/4
8
Value2
OR 89
20/1
Zapruder silks

Karen Murphy

Zapruder

6yo Gelding · 8-10

Laoban - Bold Child (Flatter)

Martin Garcia60%1/2Dale Romans60%
868140
4.0

Class Advantage

1/11 · C5 · finish vs mark below1/11 · mark par1/1113/02 · C6 · finish vs mark below13/02 · mark par22/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below22/04 · mark par28/06 · C8 · finish vs mark above28/06 · mark par16/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below16/08 · mark par29/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 44%1/11Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 44%Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 22%22/04Pos 1 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 25%16/08Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 10%29/08
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength21%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +19.6%Ahead 3/4
10
3
OR 99
8/1
Stellenbosch silks

Sf Racing Llc, Starlight Racing, Madaket Stables Llc, Stonestreet Stables Llc, Bashor, Dianne, Determined Stables, Golconda Stable, Waves Edge Capital Llc And Donovan, Catherine

Stellenbosch

3yo Colt · 8-8

Tapit - Verve's Tale (Tale Of Ekati)

Francisco Arrieta1/1Bob Baffert80%Course spec.
271
6.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

14/06 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a14/0611/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below11/07 · mark par11/071/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par1/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 89%14/06Pos 7 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 7 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 0%11/07Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%1/08
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength35%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -27.0%Ahead 2/3
5
8
OR 97
4/1
Penalty Box silks

James Daniell

Penalty Box

4yo Gelding · 8-10

Violence - Lady Alida (Street Boss)

Ben Curtis1/2Michael McCarthy
226153
6.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

20/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/07 · mark par20/0724/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below24/08 · mark par30/10 · C6 · finish vs mark below30/10 · mark par7/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above7/06 · mark par18/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below18/07 · mark par21/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below21/08 · mark par21/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 83%20/07Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 80%Pos 2 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 2 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 80%30/10Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 43%18/07Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 67%21/08
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength65%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -14.7%Ahead 1/4
7
5
OR 100
6/1
Universe silks

4 G Racing Llc, Day, Gregg, Crain, Steven And Magdalena Racing

Universe

3yo Gelding · 8-6

Global Campaign - Equalityforall (Quality Road)

Emmanuel Esquivel60%Kenneth McPeek60%
274475
4.0Going 8.0Class ↓5

Class Advantage

29/11 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above29/11 · mark par29/113/01 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below3/01 · mark par14/02 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above14/02 · mark par21/03 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/03 · mark par1/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below1/08 · mark par5/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength87%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 83%29/11Pos 7 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 7 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 14%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 57%14/02Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 63%Pos 7 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 7 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 0%1/08Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 50%5/09
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength17%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -8.9%Ahead 3/4
6
7
OR 98
15/1
Coalmoon silks

Gratz Street Boys Stable Llc

Coalmoon

4yo Gelding · 8-10

Coal Front - Stella Moon (Malibu Moon)

Luan Machado1/11Paulo Lobo60%
224279
4.0

Class Advantage

21/12 · C5 · finish vs mark below21/12 · mark par21/1227/02 · C6 · finish vs mark below27/02 · mark par21/03 · C6 · finish vs mark below21/03 · mark par15/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below15/04 · mark par14/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below14/05 · mark par1/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below1/08 · mark par1/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 89%21/12Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 90%Pos 4 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 4 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 67%21/03Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 80%Pos 7 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 7 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 0%14/05Pos 9 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 9 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 27%1/08
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 9-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -26.9%Ahead 1/4
2
10
OR 97
10/1
Amor Patriae silks

Doubledown Stables, Inc

Amor Patriae

4yo Colt · 8-10

Munnings - Amazing Littlelady (Unbridled's Song)

Jaime Torres60%James DiVito60%
422277
4.0

Class Advantage

2/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below2/05 · mark par2/0525/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below25/05 · mark par22/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below22/06 · mark par18/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below18/08 · mark par19/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below19/09 · mark par9/10 · C5 · finish vs mark below9/10 · mark par9/10projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 63%2/05Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 90%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 91%22/06Pos 2 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 2 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 80%Pos 7 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 7 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 25%19/09Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 40%9/10
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 5-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength2%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -17.2%Ahead 1/4
3
9
OR 97
8/1
Memory silks

Galvin, Fergus And Cecil, Mary

Memory

3yo Gelding · 8-6

Uncle Mo - Sundaysatthebeach (Medaglia D'oro)

Tyler Gaffalione60%Brendan Walsh60%
71674
3.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

7/03 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a7/032/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/04 · mark par2/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below2/05 · mark par31/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below31/05 · mark par25/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below25/06 · mark par25/06projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 80%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 7 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 25%7/03Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%2/04Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 50%2/05Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 25%31/05Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 0%25/06
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 5-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -31.3%Ahead 1/4