17:00 · Kempton

Unibet/EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

6fStandardClass 42YO onlyPOLYTRACK12 runners
Ordered by projected finish
3
Top Pick1
OR 64
4/1
Duchess Of Immatin silks

Mr I Aldabiba

2yo Filly · 9-2

Blue Point - Spring Sunshine (James Garfield)

Billy Loughnane80%0/1G Boughey
44
5.0

Blue Point filly out of an unraced half-sister to high-class 1m-1¼m winner Arod. Promise both starts to date, not convincing that the shorter trip was in her favour when a staying-on fourth of 10 in a Windsor maiden (5f) 9 days ago. Return to 6f in her favour and respected under Billy Loughnane.

Class Advantage

27/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a27/0814/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a14/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength16%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 40%27/08Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 67%14/09
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -13.8%Ahead 1/2
10
Market Fav2
7/4
Show Me Glory silks

Sheikh Juma Dalmook Al Maktoum

2yo Filly · 9-2

St Mark's Basilica - Put On A Show (Showcasing)

Jason Watson70%A M Balding60%
3
4.0Class ↓1

St Mark's Basilica filly who appeals on paper and there was encouragement to glean from her debut third in a Newmarket novice (7f) 33 days ago. Appeals as a likely improver with that under her belt and one to consider from a handy draw.

Class Advantage

21/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a21/08
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength12%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 67%21/08
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 1-6 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +29.8%Ahead 1/1
6
5
14/1
Lady Of Lucca silks

Mr M Dunne

2yo Filly · 9-2

Minzaal - Upstage (Cable Bay)

Alice Bond60%−5lbMartin Dunne
35
4.0

Showed some promise first time up when staying on for third in 6-runner novice at Lingfield (6f) in August but was again no better than midfield when fifth over same C&D 2 weeks ago. Best watched until tackling low-grade nurseries.

Class Advantage

25/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a25/0810/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a10/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 100%Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 60%25/08Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 56%10/09
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 3-3 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength77%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +57.8%Ahead 2/2
12
3
7/1
Wig Wam Bam silks

Mr George Materna

2yo Filly · 9-2

Blue Point - Instant Icon (Muhaarar)

Finley Marsh70%J Channon
83
4.0Class ↓1

100,000 gns yearling who has hinted at ability in 2 starts to date, keeping on for third in a Goodwood maiden (6f) 4 weeks ago. However, it could be longer trips/handicaps that see her to better effect moving forward, including as a 3-y-o.

Class Advantage

17/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a17/0728/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a28/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength6%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 8 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 30%17/07Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 50%28/08
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 12-12 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -0.8%Ahead 1/2
7
7
11/2
Letter To Hermione silks

David Ward

2yo Filly · 9-2

Starman - Nancy Hart (Sepoy)

Ashley Lewis60%E Walker
No form3.0

Foaled March 8. Starman filly. Half-sister to 2-y-o 5.4f winner Kindness and 6f winner Peony. Dam maiden (stayed 1m) out of winning half-sister to 1000 Guineas winner Sky Lantern. Appeals on paper but yard only 1-33 with 2-y-o debutants this season at time of writing.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

Projected finish5th of 1160% of field
NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend
Strength71%
11
6
10/1
Threelittleangels silks

Mr Mark Vickers

2yo Filly · 9-2

Harry Angel - Poetic Queen (Dylan Thomas)

Joe Leavy60%R A Teal
No form3.0

Foaled February 5. €9,000 yearling, 57,000 gns 2-y-o, Harry Angel filly. Half-sister to 3 winners, including 7f winner Hilltop and 1m-9f winner abroad Poet's Realm. Stable 1-7 with their 2-y-o debutants at the time of writing so far this season.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

Projected finish6th of 1150% of field
NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend
Strength47%
9
4
16/1
Sayidah Dubawi silks

Mr Jaber Abdullah

2yo Filly · 9-2

Night Of Thunder - Shalanez (Shalaa)

George Wood60%J Tate80%
9
2.0

€120,000 yearling, Night of Thunder filly. Dam, runner-up at 6f/7f at 2 yrs, half-sister to smart 7f winner Spectre. Proved easy to back and offered little when ninth of 10 in a Southwell maiden (5f) on debut last month. Steps up in trip now.

Class Advantage

31/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a31/08
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 100%Dist: 6f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 9 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 11%31/08
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 7-12 · 50%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -36.3%Ahead 0/1
2
8
14/1
Cubbie's Dream silks

Whitcoombe Park Racing

2yo Filly · 9-2

Caturra - Bint Aldar (Zoffany)

Harry Davies60%J G Portman
94
3.0Class ↓1

Offered little on debut when ninth of 10 in novice at Newbury in July but did at least show more when fourth of 5 in a Goodwood maiden (6f) 4 weeks ago. Still, she looks the type to do better in handicaps after this.

Class Advantage

9/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a9/0728/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a28/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength16%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 11%9/07Pos 4 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 25%28/08
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 5-5 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength65%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +18.1%Ahead 2/2
4
9
33/1
Forever Faithfull silks

Old Stoic Racing Club

2yo Filly · 9-2

Caturra - Mariance (Adaay)

Callum Hutchinson60%J G Portman
7
2.0Class ↓1

Caturra filly. Dam 7f winner (including at 2 yrs). 28/1, proved too green to do herself justice when seventh of 9 in a Goodwood maiden (6f) on debut back in May. This can reveal more on return from 132 days off.

Class Advantage

23/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a23/05
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength22%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 25%23/05
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 5-10 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength13%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +25.0%Ahead 1/1
8
10
20/1
Mistral Madness silks

Mr Matthew Webber

2yo Filly · 9-2

Minzaal - Allegation (Lawman)

S M Levey70%T Ward60%
57
3.0

Half-sister to several winners, including 7f/1m winner Key Witness and winner up to 1m Panama Red, both useful. Dam, runner-up at 1¼m-1½m, half-sister to smart 7.4f-12.4f winner Great House. Big prices and limited short-term promise in pair of novice events to date.

Class Advantage

29/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a29/0814/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a14/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 50%Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 50%29/08Pos 7 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 14%14/09
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 12-12 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +32.1%Ahead 2/2
5
11
50/1
Kitty Rey silks

Redpost Racing

2yo Filly · 9-2

St Mark's Basilica - Kitty Love (Kitten's Joy)

S DonohoeOllie Sangster
0
2.0
Hood

St Mark's Basilica filly who was hooded for debut and went with no short-term encouragement when last of 10 in a Wolverhampton novice (6f) 8 days ago. Type her yard does well with in handicaps further down the line.

Class Advantage

15/09 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a15/09
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 100%Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%15/09
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 8-13 · 50%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.0%Ahead 0/1