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16:17 · Redcar

AJA Novice Amateur Jockeys' Handicap

7fGoing TBCClass 63YO plusTURFHandicap12 runners
Ordered by projected finish
9
Market Fav5
OR 52
5/2
Night Emperor silks

Tina Jackson

Night Emperor

4yo Gelding · 10-7

Havana Grey - War Empress (War Command)

Mrs Tracy Gundry−3lbMiss T Jackson
445143
6.0

Confirmed previous promise for current yard this year when opening account in handicap here (6f) in July. Has run well both starts since, third in 16-runner contest at this course 2 weeks ago, and he merits consideration.

Class Advantage

28/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/05 · mark par28/051/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/07 · mark par16/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above16/07 · mark par29/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/07 · mark par22/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par9/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 12
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength47%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 57%28/05Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 82%Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 50%16/07Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 80%22/08Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 87%9/09
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength94%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -4.1%Ahead 1/4
7
4
OR 58
9/2
South Kensington silks

Mr Adam Kirby

South Kensington

5yo Mare · 10-13

Blue Point - Moonvoy (Cape Cross)

Mr Liam McGaffin60%Adam Kirby60%
921572
5.0Class ↓4
Cheek piecesTongue strap

Recorded a first success for present stable this season in handicap at Southwell in May. Soon bounced back from a lesser effort when runner-up at Lingfield 13 days ago and she's a major player with cheekpieces refitted.

Class Advantage

11/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/04 · mark par11/0411/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/05 · mark par21/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/05 · mark par1/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/06 · mark par30/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/07 · mark par10/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above10/09 · mark par10/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 12
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength46%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 38%11/04Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 92%Pos 1 · SP 8/11 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 8/11 | Actual: 100%21/05Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 7 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 7 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 33%30/07Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 90%10/09
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength65%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -3.9%Ahead 2/4
1
3
OR 64
11/2
King Of War silks

Gallop Syndicates King Of War

King Of War

7yo Gelding · 11-5

Churchill - Materialistic (Oasis Dream)

Mr Morgan Tidman−3lbM Wigham70%
153084
4.0Going 8.0
1st Cheekpieces +2Tongue strap

Gained a fourth win at Brighton when successful there in June. After a couple of below-par performances, ran respectably in a higher grade when fourth of 7 back at Brighton a month ago. Capable of going well at this level.

Class Advantage

22/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above22/06 · mark par22/0630/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/06 · mark par10/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above10/07 · mark par24/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par14/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below14/08 · mark par23/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/08 · mark par23/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength70%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%22/06Pos 5 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 5 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 71%10/07Pos 11 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 8 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 8 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 13%14/08Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 50%23/08
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength55%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -8.0%Ahead 1/4
4
Value2
OR 60
16/1
Sandret silks

Sam England Racing Club

Sandret

10yo Gelding · 11-1

Zebedee - Sava Sunset (Manduro)

Mr Liam Baxter0/1−3lbS England
216887
4.0Class ↓4

Rejuvenated for this yard last season, successful over 1m at this course and Thirsk. However, is yet to fire in 4 starts during the current campaign, down the field back at Thirsk last month.

Class Advantage

8/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par8/0829/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par16/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above16/06 · mark par29/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below29/06 · mark par28/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below28/07 · mark par28/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/08 · mark par28/08projClass-projected finish: 9th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength55%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 83%8/08Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 58%16/06Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%28/07Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 40%28/08
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 6-12 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength16%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +2.2%Ahead 2/4
5
7
OR 63
16/1
Irish Incentive silks

Mr Bev Hendry

Irish Incentive

3yo Filly · 11-1

Starman - Duchess Rose (Dream Ahead)

Mr Joshua Brown60%A Keatley
582560
3.0Class ↓4

Went close in a Southwell novice on third start but has gone backwards since, running no sort of race making handicap debut at Doncaster (1m) in May. Off 4 months ahead of first run since leaving Gay Kelleway.

Class Advantage

5/11 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a5/1126/02 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a21/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a6/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/04 · mark par23/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/04 · mark par16/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below16/05 · mark par16/05projClass-projected finish: 5th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼2
Strength88%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 56%5/11Pos 8 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 8 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 13%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 75%21/03Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 56%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 38%23/04Pos 12 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 15%16/05
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength60%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +24.8%Ahead 3/4
3
9
OR 61
12/1
Pedro The Poet silks

Tarzan Bloodstock

Pedro The Poet

5yo Gelding · 11-2

Poet's Word - Hakeeka (Cape Cross)

Mr Harvey James0/2−3lbN G Richards80%
050864
3.0

Maiden in Ireland who stepped forward from his recent stable debut when fourth of 6 in handicap at Catterick (1¾m) 15 days ago. Task is now to build on latest effort dropped significantly in trip.

Class Advantage

15/03 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a15/0327/03 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a25/04 · C7 · finish vs mark below25/04 · mark par26/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below26/05 · mark par27/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par8/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 15 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 36%15/03Pos 5 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 64%Pos 15 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 36%25/04Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 36%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 29%27/08Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 40%8/09
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength79%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +28.7%Ahead 4/4
2
6
OR 62
10/1
Judicature silks

Mr Darren Briscoe

Judicature

4yo Gelding · 11-3

Invincible Spirit - Magical Journey (Night Of Thunder)

Miss Chloe Thornton−3lbJ Parkinson & S Smith80%
287740
3.0
1st Blinkers +3

Yet to win in handicaps but has made the frame 3 times this season, making first start in 0-65 company when fourth of 10 at Newcastle in July. Below form there 3 weeks ago, though he could fare better back at this level with blinkers applied.

Class Advantage

18/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/05 · mark par18/0527/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/05 · mark par18/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/06 · mark par9/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above9/07 · mark par31/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par2/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼1
Strength61%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 89%18/05Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 30%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 33%18/06Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 67%31/07Pos 10 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 10 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 18%2/09
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 4-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength33%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -18.0%Ahead 0/4
6
Top Pick1
OR 59
12/1
Mr Jetman silks

Foxhounds Racing

Mr Jetman

6yo Gelding · 11-0

Territories - Silent Secret (Dubai Destination)

Miss Stephanie Dorey60%0/3L A Mullaney
811599
5.0Going 8.0

C&D winner who ended a long losing run at Ripon last spring and followed up at the same track. However, ended the campaign on a low-key note and has been absent 14 months ahead of first run since leaving Seb Spencer.

Class Advantage

24/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above24/04 · mark par24/0418/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/05 · mark par4/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/06 · mark par19/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par28/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/06 · mark par7/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above7/07 · mark par7/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength55%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 8 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 22%24/04Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%4/06Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 43%Pos 9 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 9 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 50%28/06Pos 9 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 9 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 11%7/07
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 6-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength6%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -8.9%Ahead 2/4
10
8
OR 52
10/1
Soul Warrior silks

D Jenkins J Glover R O'donnell J Short

Soul Warrior

3yo Gelding · 10-4

Invincible Spirit - Alsindi (Acclamation)

Miss Tilly Evans60%N Tinkler70%
035887
2.0
1st Tongue Strap +2

Made a winning nursery debut at this course (6f) a year ago. Similar form when third at Ripon in July but hasn't kicked on since, though wasn't ideally placed when seventh of 16 here 2 weeks ago. On a handy mark with tongue strap fitted and visor discarded.

Class Advantage

14/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/06 · mark par14/066/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par20/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below20/07 · mark par7/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above7/08 · mark par31/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par9/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength24%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 10 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 31%14/06Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 20%20/07Pos 8 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 8 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 22%Pos 8 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 8 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 36%31/08Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 60%9/09
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 3-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength20%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -7.5%Ahead 2/4
12
12
OR 46
25/1
Ryefield silks

Marsh, Rimmer and Taylor

Ryefield

3yo Gelding · 9-12

Ardad - Charlie Em (Kheleyf)

Miss Amy Milburn60%L A Mullaney
588070
2.0

Remains a maiden but fared better than of late under more positive tactics when 2¾ lengths seventh of 13 in handicap at Beverley (7.5f) last month. Failed to back that up, though, when well beaten in classified event at Catterick.

Class Advantage

7/11 · C6 · finish vs mark above7/11 · mark par7/1119/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/05 · mark par4/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below4/06 · mark par1/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par12/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above12/08 · mark par26/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/08 · mark par26/08projClass-projected finish: 11th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 43%7/11Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 36%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%4/06Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 10%Pos 7 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 50%12/08Pos 11 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 17%26/08
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 4-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength18%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +19.2%Ahead 3/4
8
10
OR 54
12/1
Oselton silks

Craven Surface Treatments Ltd

Oselton

4yo Gelding · 10-9

Belardo - Talent Spotter (Exceed And Excel)

Mr Jack Loughnane−3lbCraig Lidster
489200
3.0Class ↓3

Improved performer in 7f all-weather handicaps around this time last year, getting off the mark at Southwell. Narrowly denied at Doncaster on second run back this season, though well held last 2 outings. Off 3 months.

Class Advantage

25/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/09 · mark par25/0930/10 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/10 · mark par10/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above10/04 · mark par16/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above16/05 · mark par16/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above16/06 · mark par25/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below25/06 · mark par25/06projClass-projected finish: 10th of 12
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength29%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 67%25/09Pos 8 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 8 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 13%Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 38%10/04Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 92%Pos 12 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 12 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 15%16/06Pos 12 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 12 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 8%25/06
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 4-12 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength13%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -1.7%Ahead 2/4
11
11
OR 46
16/1
Ganthorpe silks

Mark Hickling Racing

Ganthorpe

3yo Gelding · 9-12

Dream Ahead - Aetna (Indesatchel)

Miss Parthena Rose Sudlow−3lbM & D Easterby
177700
2.0

Gained a breakthrough success at Carlisle (6f) in May but has struggled for form since, well held at Thirsk 9 days ago.

Class Advantage

29/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/05 · mark par29/0520/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par29/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/06 · mark par17/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above17/07 · mark par12/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above12/08 · mark par14/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/09 · mark par14/09projClass-projected finish: 12th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 7f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%29/05Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 14%29/06Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 14%Pos 10 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 25%12/08Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 10%14/09
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 7-12 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength15%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -5.8%Ahead 2/4