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16:16 · Listowel

Jet, Peggy & Eamonn O'Carroll Memorial Handicap

1m 6f 55yYielding3YO onlyTURFHandicap8 runners
Ordered by projected finish
7
Value2
OR 76
13/2
Sunrush silks

P Garvey

Sunrush

3yo Gelding · 9-3

Teofilo - Solar Wave (Vocalised)

Andrew Slattery60%0/4A Slattery
746531
6.0

Improved again when opening his account in 18-runner handicap at Navan (1¾m, good, 8/1) 26 days ago, kept up to work. Unexposed at the trip and seems sure to go well again.

Class Advantage

31/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a31/0828/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a15/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a4/06 · C7 · finish vs mark below4/06 · mark par15/08 · C7 · finish vs mark below15/08 · mark par27/08 · C7 · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par27/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding · 17%Dist: 1m 6f 55y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 50%31/08Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 73%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 64%15/05Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 71%15/08Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 100%27/08
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength70%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +14.6%Ahead 2/4
1
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 87
15/8
Count Bezukhov silks

Westerberg Ireland

Count Bezukhov

3yo Colt · 10-0

Wootton Bassett - Miss Yoda (Sea The Stars)

J M Sheridan60%0/1J P O'Brien
313
7.0Going 8.0
Tongue strap

Confirmed debut promise fitted with a tongue tie when winning 1¼m maiden at the Curragh in May, edging ahead late on. That has worked out well and he ran at least as well in defeat under a penalty at Doncaster 7 weeks later. Longer trip will suit on handicap bow and remains with potential.

Class Advantage

10/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a10/0523/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a23/059/07 · C2 · finish vs mark n/a9/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength8%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: YieldingDist: 1m 6f 55y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 71%10/05Pos 1 · SP 10/11 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 10/11 | Actual: 100%23/05Pos 3 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 3 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 71%9/07
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 3-5 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength52%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -1.7%Ahead 2/3
6
4
OR 80
25/1
Possum silks

Lady Brooke

Possum

3yo Filly · 9-7

Australia - Colonial Classic (Dansili)

Shane Foley60%0/3Mrs J Harrington80%
833
6.0Going 8.0
1st Cheekpieces +2

Australia filly who ran to a similar level as last time when third of 17 in maiden (8/1) at Galway (1½m, soft) 14 days ago, slowly away. Opening mark looks on the stiff side but the combination of first-time cheekpieces and a 2f longer trip could trigger improvement.

Class Advantage

3/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a3/0618/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a18/088/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a8/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding · 33%Dist: 1m 6f 55y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 13%3/06Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 85%18/08Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 88%8/09
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +26.5%Ahead 2/3
5
3
OR 83
10/1
Vantage Code silks

Mrs A F Mee

Vantage Code

3yo Gelding · 9-10

Ghaiyyath - Vedouma (Dalakhani)

Jamie PowellE Mullins
072310
5.0
Hood

Proved a totally different proposition upped in trip when routing his opposition in a 1¾m handicap at Galway in July. Found life appreciably tougher from a 15 lb higher mark in the Melrose at York subsequently but back down in grade now.

Class Advantage

19/04 · C7 · finish vs mark below19/04 · mark par19/0429/05 · C7 · finish vs mark below29/05 · mark par30/06 · C7 · finish vs mark above30/06 · mark par27/07 · C7 · finish vs mark above27/07 · mark par31/07 · C7 · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par22/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par22/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength1%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding · 50%Dist: 1m 6f 55y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 11 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 17%19/04Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 45%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 89%30/06Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 86%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 100%31/07Pos 13 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 25%22/08
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 4-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength47%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +13.3%Ahead 4/4
3
5
OR 84
5/1
Huff'n'puff silks

Denis F Howard

Huff'n'puff

3yo Gelding · 9-11

Bated Breath - The Begum (Zamindar)

Billy Lee60%1/2H De Bromhead60%
63514
5.0

Improved again to win 13-runner maiden at Roscommon in May and ran at least as well in defeat switched to a handicap when fourth of 9 at Down Royal (13f, soft) in June. Off since but has already proven he's capable of going well fresh.

Class Advantage

16/10 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a16/1030/03 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a25/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a18/05 · C8 · finish vs mark above18/05 · mark par20/06 · C9 · finish vs mark below20/06 · mark par20/06projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding · 20%Dist: 1m 6f 55y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 67%16/10Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 86%30/03Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 76%25/04Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%18/05Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 63%20/06
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 3-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength51%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +29.0%Ahead 3/4
2
8
OR 85
4/1
Bay Of Stars silks

Juddmonte

Bay Of Stars

3yo Colt · 9-12

New Bay - Heliac (Champs Elysees)

Colin Keane60%1/2D K Weld
61230
4.0Going 8.0

New Bay colt who confirmed promise of 2-y-o debut when winning 1½m maiden at Dundalk in April and showed even better form in defeat on first 2 handicap starts. Failed to make an impact in the Melrose at York last month but has to be respected back in much calmer waters.

Class Advantage

21/11 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a21/1123/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a10/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below10/05 · mark par20/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below20/06 · mark par22/08 · C2 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par22/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding · 20%Dist: 1m 6f 55y · 20%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 6 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 58%21/11Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%23/04Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 86%10/05Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 75%20/06Pos 14 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 14 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 19%22/08
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 2-5 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength63%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +3.4%Ahead 3/4
4
6
OR 83
11/1
Mergus Serrator silks

Thomas Mitchell

Mergus Serrator

3yo Gelding · 9-10

Masar - Almareekh (War Front)

Gary Carroll0/3G P Cromwell80%
64455
3.0

Took another step forward on his handicap debut when fifth of 9 at Down Royal (13f) in June. Was below form reverting to maiden company at Galway last time, though.

Class Advantage

18/10 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a18/1025/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a12/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a20/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below20/06 · mark par29/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below29/07 · mark par29/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding · 40%Dist: 1m 6f 55y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 50%18/10Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 82%25/04Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 63%12/05Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 50%20/06Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 76%29/07
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 4-8 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength22%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -1.2%Ahead 2/4
8
7
OR 73
10/1
Lord Aus silks

Homely Equines Ltd

Lord Aus

3yo Gelding · 9-0

Australia - Dolce Strega (Zoffany)

Ben Coen70%1/3J P Murtagh
053130
4.0Going 8.0

Improved further in first-time cheekpieces when off the mark in 16-runner handicap at Limerick (1½m) in June. Could only back up that effort when third of 4 in minor event at Leopardstown but had excuses on his most recent outing at Roscommon.

Class Advantage

22/04 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a22/048/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a29/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/05 · mark par10/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above10/06 · mark par23/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below23/07 · mark par31/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength3%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: YieldingDist: 1m 6f 55y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 13 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 14%22/04Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 82%29/05Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 3 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 33%23/07Pos 11 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 11 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 29%31/08
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength21%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +5.3%Ahead 2/4