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19:17 · Churchill Downs

Race 6 - Claiming

6f3YO plusDIRT7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
2
Top Pick1
OR 82
9/2
Special Sauce silks

Southwest Racing Stables, Inc And Lewis, Steve H

Special Sauce

3yo Filly · 8-6

Practical Joke - Saucy At Midnight (Midnight Lute)

Edgar Morales60%Genaro Garcia60%
312631
7.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

14/01 · C8 · finish vs mark below14/01 · mark par14/0111/02 · C8 · finish vs mark above11/02 · mark par11/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below11/03 · mark par25/03 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below25/03 · mark par28/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below28/04 · mark par19/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above19/08 · mark par19/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength36%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 71%14/01Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 2 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 86%11/03Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 60%28/04Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%19/08
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength97%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +7.4%Ahead 2/4
4
3
OR 87
7/2
Just Do Believe silks

Burnsworth, Richard And Dunn Brothers Racing, Llc

Just Do Believe

3yo Filly · 8-6

Dialed In - Faith In Cathy (Hold Me Back)

Jeiron Barbosa60%3/3Anthony Farrior60%
2111
7.0

Class Advantage

5/06 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a5/0627/06 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par27/0619/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above19/07 · mark par19/079/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above9/08 · mark par9/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength50%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 75%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 86%5/06Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%27/06Pos 1 · SP 2/5 | Expected: 98%Pos 1 · SP 2/5 | Actual: 100%19/07Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 100%9/08
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength94%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +8.6%Ahead 3/4
5
2
OR 84
4/1
Revel Toast silks

Joel Politi

Revel Toast

3yo Filly · 8-6

Maclean's Music - Tulanian (Twirling Candy)

Tyler Gaffalione60%Kinnon Larose
315135
6.0

Class Advantage

27/08 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below27/08 · mark par27/0827/09 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/09 · mark par31/10 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below31/10 · mark par30/11 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below30/11 · mark par31/01 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below31/01 · mark par17/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below17/04 · mark par17/04projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength44%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 78%27/08Pos 1 · SP 4/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 4/6 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 5 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 33%31/10Pos 2 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 83%Pos 3 · SP 4/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 3 · SP 4/6 | Actual: 60%31/01Pos 5 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 5 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 20%17/04
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 5-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength1%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -42.2%Ahead 0/4
3
Market Fav5
OR 84
7/5
Tetiaroa silks

Rigney Racing Llc

Tetiaroa

4yo Filly · 8-11

Vekoma - Legacy (Sightseeing)

Jose Ortiz60%1/5Philip Bauer60%
054431
7.0Class ↓7

Class Advantage

22/11 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above22/11 · mark par22/1110/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above10/04 · mark par29/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above29/05 · mark par26/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below26/06 · mark par4/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/08 · mark par25/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/08 · mark par25/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼3
Strength95%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 10 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 10%22/11Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 50%29/05Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 0%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 60%4/08Pos 1 · SP 4/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 4/6 | Actual: 100%25/08
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength80%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -29.5%Ahead 1/4
1
4
OR 91
15/1
Tempting Eve silks

Jd Thoroughbreds Llc

Tempting Eve

4yo Filly · 8-9

Alternation - Tempting Our Fate (Acclamation)

D E SheehyChris Hartman
161784
4.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

8/01 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above8/01 · mark par8/017/02 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below7/02 · mark par6/03 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/03 · mark par29/04 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below29/04 · mark par29/05 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below29/05 · mark par24/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below24/06 · mark par24/06projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength51%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 100%8/01Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 100%6/03Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 13%29/05Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 57%24/06
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength38%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +26.3%Ahead 3/4
7
6
OR 84
6/1
Jr Miss Buttercup silks

Jimenez Racing Stable, Llc

Jr Miss Buttercup

3yo Filly · 8-6

American Pharoah - Summer's Ready (More Than Ready)

Jaime Torres60%Joseph Davis60%
371166
4.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

29/04 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below29/04 · mark par29/0413/05 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below13/05 · mark par17/06 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above17/06 · mark par11/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par6/08 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below6/08 · mark par1/09 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below1/09 · mark par1/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength62%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 60%29/04Pos 7 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 7 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 25%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%17/06Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 38%6/08Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 17%1/09
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength56%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -0.9%Ahead 2/4
6
7
OR 82
30/1
Good Call silks

William Bunn

Good Call

4yo Filly · 8-9

Maximum Security - Private Talk (Awesome Again)

Cristian Torres60%2/7Aaron Shorter60%
461868
3.0

Class Advantage

28/12 · C8 · finish vs mark below28/12 · mark par28/1222/02 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below22/02 · mark par12/04 · C8 · finish vs mark above12/04 · mark par25/05 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below25/05 · mark par24/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below24/06 · mark par19/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below19/08 · mark par19/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength37%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 57%28/12Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 17%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%12/04Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 13%Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 29%24/06Pos 8 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 8 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 0%19/08
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 7-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -29.9%Ahead 1/4