18:50 · Thistledown

Race 5 - Claiming

6f3YO plusDIRT7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
5
Market Fav2
OR 73
11/8
Gray Day silks

Lion Palm Racing Stable

6yo Gelding · 8-11

Race Day - Sheltowee's Gal (Paynter)

Jason Simpson60%Ricardo Bailey60%
243322
7.0

Class Advantage

3/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below3/06 · mark par3/0624/06 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below24/06 · mark par13/07 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below13/07 · mark par3/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below3/08 · mark par25/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below25/08 · mark par10/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below10/09 · mark par10/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength58%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 83%3/06Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 60%13/07Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 2 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 2 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 80%25/08Pos 2 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 2 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 80%10/09
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -9.2%Ahead 1/4
3
Top Pick1
OR 74
11/4
Spirit Of Akron silks

Judy Meyers

5yo Gelding · 8-11

Mor Spirit - Red Sole Diva (Speightstown)

Jose Bracho60%0/4Shane Meyers60%
352344
6.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

9/03 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below9/03 · mark par9/0323/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below23/03 · mark par10/04 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below10/04 · mark par6/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below6/05 · mark par28/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below28/05 · mark par2/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength60%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 75%9/03Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 71%Pos 5 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 5 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 20%10/04Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 50%28/05Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 40%2/09
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 3-6 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength43%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -37.3%Ahead 0/4
6
3
OR 68
11/4
Worthy Opponent silks

Candace Huffman

7yo Gelding · 8-11

Even The Score - Dehere And Now (Dehere)

Gerardo Corrales60%Candace Huffman60%
724423
7.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

9/10 · C8 · finish vs mark below9/10 · mark par9/1027/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below27/05 · mark par16/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below16/06 · mark par7/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below7/07 · mark par29/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below29/07 · mark par26/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below26/08 · mark par26/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 25%9/10Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 67%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 25%16/06Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 63%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 75%29/07Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 60%26/08
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength75%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -10.2%Ahead 2/4
2
4
OR 66
10/1
Matthew's Patriot silks

Rey Juarez-mendoza

7yo Gelding · 8-11

Awesome Patriot - Preservation Hall (Dixieland Band)

Jefferson Skerrett60%−5lbRey Mendoza60%
643374
5.0

Class Advantage

13/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below13/05 · mark par13/0523/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below23/06 · mark par7/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below7/07 · mark par29/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below29/07 · mark par25/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below25/08 · mark par7/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength4%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 75%13/05Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 75%7/07Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 14%25/08Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 40%7/09
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength92%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +19.2%Ahead 3/4
1
5
OR 59
16/1
A Van On The Run silks

Randall Blevins

5yo Gelding · 8-11

Race Day - Bright Reply (Yonaguska)

Chelsey Keiser60%Candace Huffman60%
176167
4.0

Class Advantage

25/11 · C8 · finish vs mark above25/11 · mark par25/115/02 · C8 · finish vs mark below5/02 · mark par17/02 · C8 · finish vs mark below17/02 · mark par10/03 · C8 · finish vs mark above10/03 · mark par30/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below30/03 · mark par27/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below27/05 · mark par27/05projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readCOMPETITIVE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength28%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%25/11Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 7 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 14%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 29%17/02Pos 1 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 0%30/03Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 7 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 0%27/05
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength31%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +20.3%Ahead 2/4
4
6
OR 58
12/1
Lunchatthelizard silks

Cline, Robert C And Gomez Mann Racing Llc

6yo Gelding · 8-11

Palace - Coquina Day (Thunder Gulch)

Mauro Cedillo60%Robert Cline
778324
3.0

Class Advantage

11/08 · C8 · finish vs mark above11/08 · mark par11/0818/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below18/09 · mark par9/10 · C8 · finish vs mark below9/10 · mark par3/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below3/06 · mark par29/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below29/06 · mark par23/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below23/07 · mark par23/07projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength16%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 83%11/08Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 63%Pos 9 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 9 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 0%9/10Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%29/06Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 13%23/07
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength25%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -25.8%Ahead 0/4
7
7
OR 53
25/1
El Marro silks

Elias Del Val

9yo Gelding · 8-11

Astrology - Clockwork Angel (Forest Camp)

Juan Jr SilvaJose Romero
666974
4.0

Class Advantage

12/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below12/05 · mark par12/053/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below3/06 · mark par12/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below12/07 · mark par22/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below22/07 · mark par6/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below6/08 · mark par18/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below18/08 · mark par18/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readCOMPETITIVE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength28%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%12/05Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%12/07Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 25%6/08Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 63%18/08
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength22%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +21.9%Ahead 2/4