15

Ialto D'hertals
8yo Gelding · 0-0
Argentan · Grand National Du Trot - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#3
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 | Saint-Malo | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Le Croise-Laroche | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Chateaubriant | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-25 | Marseille-borely | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-03 | Agen | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-27 | Vincennes | 2 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1871% of fieldRange 6-18 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength30%
Delivery trend -2.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/11/2025 | 3rd | 5/4 | 93% | 86% | -0.08 |
| 27/12/2025 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 25/01/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 93% | +0.77 |
| 27/02/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 93% | +0.11 |
| 03/03/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 92% | +0.11 |
| 25/03/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 93% | +0.30 |
| 22/04/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 93% | +0.08 |
| 20/05/2026 | 10th | 4/1 | 79% | 36% | -0.43 |
| 05/08/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 77% | +0.40 |