15

Ialto D'hertals

8yo Gelding · 0-0

Argentan · Grand National Du Trot - Attele · 1m 6f 64y

#3

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength2%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.9)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 03/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 03/11C?C0 @ Vincennes 27/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 01 @ Vincennes 25/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 025/0112 @ Vincennes 27/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Agen 03/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m5f10y Std 03/03C?C0 @ Marseille-borely 25/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 0C0 @ Chateaubriant 22/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m6f173y Std 022/04C?C0 @ Le Croise-Laroche 20/05/2026 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f9y Std 0C0 @ Saint-Malo 05/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 05/08C?projClass-projected finish: 8th of 18
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-05Saint-Malo?4th4th0
2026-05-20Le Croise-Laroche?10th10th0
2026-04-22Chateaubriant?2nd2nd0
2026-03-25Marseille-borely?2nd2nd0
2026-03-03Agen?2nd2nd0
2026-02-27Vincennes22nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/1127/0222/045/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1871% of fieldRange 6-18 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength30%

Delivery trend -2.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 18. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/11/20253rd5/493%86%-0.08
27/12/20251st15/261%100%+0.39
25/01/20262nd16/116%93%+0.77
27/02/20262nd7/282%93%+0.11
03/03/20262nd7/282%92%+0.11
25/03/20262nd7/163%93%+0.30
22/04/20262nd11/486%93%+0.08
20/05/202610th4/179%36%-0.43
05/08/20264th12/137%77%+0.40