4

Jack Des Ass

7yo Gelding · 0-0

Argentan · Grand National Du Trot - Attele · 1m 6f 64y

#1

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

84%

Place Prob

63%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength14%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 1.7 /10 (raw 3.1)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Nancy 31/05/2024 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 1m4f203y Std 031/05C?C0 @ Argentan 10/08/2024 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 0C0 @ Caen 03/03/2025 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 03/03C?C0 @ Argentan 25/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 0C0 @ Cabourg 29/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 029/08C?C0 @ Laval 05/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 17 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Vire 18/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 18 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 018/05C?C0 @ Chateaubriant 07/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 0C0 @ Angers 09/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 1m7f90y Std 09/09C?projClass-projected finish: 4th of 18
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Angers?3rd3rd0
2026-07-31Cabourg?0
2026-06-24Vichy?0
2026-06-07Chateaubriant?1st1st0
2026-05-18Vire?1st1st0
2026-04-03Vincennes40

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/0525/0518/059/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1894% of fieldRange 3-12 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength61%

Delivery trend -1.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 18.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/05/20241st11/486%100%+0.14
10/08/20241st2/189%100%+0.11
03/03/202510th33/10%18%+0.18
25/05/20251st5/493%100%+0.07
29/08/20251st5/493%100%+0.07
05/03/20267th28/10%63%+0.63
18/05/20261st8/1597%100%+0.03
07/06/20261st2/799%100%+0.02
09/09/20263rd5/287%86%-0.01