9

Little Brown

5yo Colt · 0-0

Argentan · Grand National Du Trot - Attele · 1m 6f 64y

#9

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength13%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 24/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 024/10C?C0 @ Vincennes 16/11/2025 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 22/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 022/11C?C0 @ Vincennes 13/12/2025 · Pos 13th of 15 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 18/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 018/01C?C0 @ Vincennes 22/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Laval 11/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 011/03C?C0 @ Vincennes 21/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Cabourg 31/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 031/07C?projClass-projected finish: 5th of 18
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-14Enghien10
2026-07-31Cabourg?1st1st0
2026-07-17Cabourg20
2026-06-21Vincennes?5th5th0
2026-03-11Laval?3rd3rd0
2026-02-22Vincennes?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/1013/1211/0331/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1876% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength81%

Delivery trend +0.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 18.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/10/20254th66/10%70%+0.70
16/11/202510th40/10%36%+0.36
22/11/20259th40/10%11%+0.11
13/12/202513th33/10%14%+0.14
18/01/20263rd18/15%71%+0.66
22/02/20266th33/10%67%+0.67
11/03/20263rd8/158%83%+0.25
21/06/20265th18/15%71%+0.66
31/07/20261st6/168%100%+0.32