4

Indigo Simardiere

8yo Gelding · 0-0

Argentan · Prix Du Chateau De Medavy - Attele · 1m 6f 64y

#15

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#15

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.7 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class: 7
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 19/08/2024 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 019/08C?C0 @ Feurs 02/09/2024 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f41y Std 0C0 @ Marseille 30/11/2024 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 030/11C?C0 @ Marseille 05/12/2024 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 0C0 @ Marseille-borely 14/03/2025 · Pos 11th of 17 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 014/03C?C0 @ Marseille 07/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 0C0 @ Marseille 02/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 02/11C?7 @ Pornichet 16/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 0C0 @ Laval 19/08/2026 · Pos 13th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 019/08C?projClass-projected finish: 14th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-19Laval?13th13th0
2026-07-16Pornichet78th8th0
2026-06-10Vichy?0
2026-04-12Pontchateau?0
2025-11-02Marseille?8th8th0
2025-08-28Marseille-borely?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/085/122/1119/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 160% of fieldRange 9-14 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength30%

Delivery trend -2.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 16th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/08/20245th20/10%60%+0.60
02/09/20248th28/10%42%+0.42
30/11/20247th28/10%57%+0.57
05/12/20248th33/10%36%+0.36
14/03/202511th100/10%38%+0.38
07/06/20253rd16/116%85%+0.69
02/11/20258th18/15%42%+0.36
16/07/20268th28/10%42%+0.42
19/08/202613th66/10%20%+0.20