15
Jason Blue
7yo Gelding · 0-0
Argentan · Prix Du Chateau De Medavy - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#4
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Craon | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Caen | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-08 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | 6 | 0 | ||
| 2025-12-23 | Argentan | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-12-18 | Meslay Du Maine | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-11-23 | Reims | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1687% of fieldRange 2-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength67%
Delivery trend -3.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/12/2024 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 18/03/2025 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 03/04/2025 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 64% | -0.02 |
| 05/05/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 07/09/2025 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 93% | +0.46 |
| 12/11/2025 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 85% | +0.43 |
| 23/11/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 73% | +0.10 |
| 22/06/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 77% | +0.01 |
| 07/09/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 85% | +0.03 |