11

Kiss Me Du Livet

6yo Mare · 0-0

Argentan · Prix Du Chateau De Medavy - Attele · 1m 6f 64y

#8

Rank

Odds

28/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength17%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.9)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 01/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 01/01C?C0 @ Mauquenchy 26/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 25/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 025/02C?C0 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 07/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 06 @ Lisieux 14/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m5f65y Std 014/0364 @ Vincennes 30/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Cherbourg 24/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f10y Std 024/06C?C0 @ Le Mont-Saint-Michel 30/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 1m4f203y Std 05 @ Les Sables 21/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 1m5f174y Std 021/085projClass-projected finish: 9th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-21Les Sables51st1st0
2026-06-30Le Mont-Saint-Michel?7th7th0
2026-06-24Cherbourg?8th8th0
2026-05-11Argentan?0
2026-04-30Vincennes43rd3rd0
2026-03-14Lisieux62nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/017/0324/0621/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1667% of fieldRange 4-16 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength41%

Delivery trend -1.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 16.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/01/20264th22/10%79%+0.79
26/01/20261st9/153%100%+0.47
25/02/20263rd50/10%85%+0.85
07/03/20262nd11/271%90%+0.19
14/03/20262nd15/261%93%+0.33
30/04/20263rd12/137%78%+0.41
24/06/20268th66/10%30%+0.30
30/06/20267th14/126%40%+0.14
21/08/20261st20/10%100%+1.00