14

Katia De Muze

6yo Mare · 0-0

Argentan · Prix Du Chateau De Sassy - Attele · 1m 6f 64y

#2

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Lisieux 27/03/2025 · Pos 2nd of 18 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 027/03C?C0 @ Vincennes 22/04/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Caen 10/05/2025 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 010/05C?C0 @ Angers 10/06/2025 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 1m7f117y Std 0C0 @ La Capelle 06/07/2025 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 1m208y Std 06/07C?C0 @ Vincennes 17/11/2025 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 25/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 025/02C?C0 @ Caen 25/03/2026 · Pos 11th of 18 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 0C0 @ Cabourg 07/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 07/07C?projClass-projected finish: 10th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-14Cabourg50
2026-07-16Le Mont-Saint-Michel60
2026-07-07Cabourg?1st1st0
2026-03-25Caen?11th11th0
2026-02-25Vincennes?6th6th0
2026-01-19Vincennes?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0310/0625/027/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1586% of fieldRange 3-14 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength51%

Delivery trend +3.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/03/20252nd11/1094%94%-0.00
22/04/20251st1/195%100%+0.05
10/05/202510th10/147%40%-0.07
10/06/20254th8/158%77%+0.19
06/07/20258th15/261%30%-0.31
17/11/202510th14/126%36%+0.09
25/02/20266th50/10%62%+0.62
25/03/202611th15/261%41%-0.19
07/07/20261st7/163%100%+0.37