15
Katinka Coton
6yo Mare · 0-0
Argentan · Prix Du Chateau De Sassy - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#5
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Laval | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Cabourg | 5 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Cabourg | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-02-18 | Laval | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-08 | Vincennes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-26 | Mauquenchy | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1593% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength88%
Delivery trend +0.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/11/2025 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 87% | +0.87 |
| 04/12/2025 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 08/01/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 75% | +0.28 |
| 26/01/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 94% | +0.57 |
| 08/02/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 73% | +0.47 |
| 18/02/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 60% | +0.02 |
| 04/08/2026 | 9th | 80/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 14/08/2026 | 9th | 125/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 10/09/2026 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |