10

Kavalo Bello

6yo Gelding · 0-0

Argentan · Prix Du Chateau De Sassy - Attele · 1m 6f 64y

#3

Rank

Odds

18/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Lisieux 08/06/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 08/06C?C0 @ Le Mont-Saint-Michel 30/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 1m4f203y Std 0C0 @ Enghien 17/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 017/07C?C0 @ Meslay Du Maine 15/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 0C0 @ Graignes 30/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 030/10C?C0 @ Vincennes 06/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 21/11/2025 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 14321/11C?C0 @ Chateaubriant 07/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 1m3f95y Std 0C0 @ Vichy 30/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 7f219y Std 030/06C?projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-30Vichy?1st1st0
2026-06-07Chateaubriant?2nd2nd0
2025-11-21Vincennes?11th11th0
2025-11-06Vincennes?3rd3rd0
2025-10-30Graignes?9th9th0
2025-10-20Les Sables?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0615/0821/1130/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1571% of fieldRange 6-16 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength19%

Delivery trend +1.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 15.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/06/20252nd11/1094%89%-0.05
30/06/20253rd11/893%87%-0.06
17/07/20254th11/271%75%+0.04
15/08/20256th10/382%44%-0.38
30/10/20259th25/10%38%+0.38
06/11/20253rd22/10%86%+0.86
21/11/202511th10/147%9%-0.38
07/06/20262nd11/893%92%-0.01
30/06/20261st11/893%100%+0.07