6

Kentia Des Rioults

6yo Mare · 0-0

Argentan · Prix Du Chateau De Sassy - Attele · 1m 6f 64y

#13

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength10%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Argentan 12/05/2025 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 13612/05C?C0 @ Cherbourg 15/06/2025 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f10y Std 0C0 @ Vire 25/06/2025 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 025/06C?C0 @ Cabourg 25/07/2025 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 0C0 @ Cabourg 26/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 13626/08C?C0 @ Caen 20/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 136C0 @ Cabourg 22/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 022/12C?5 @ Vire 01/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 18 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 0C0 @ Saint-Malo 24/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 024/05C?projClass-projected finish: 6th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-24Saint-Malo?4th4th0
2026-04-27Cholet?0
2026-03-01Vire58th8th0
2026-01-14Cordemais?0
2025-12-22Cabourg?2nd2nd0
2025-12-08Angers?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/0525/0722/1224/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1550% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength69%

Delivery trend +1.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 15.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/05/20256th66/10%62%+0.62
15/06/20257th66/10%45%+0.45
25/06/20255th66/10%69%+0.69
25/07/20256th80/10%67%+0.67
26/08/20253rd50/10%80%+0.80
20/09/20257th28/10%50%+0.50
22/12/20252nd16/116%92%+0.77
01/03/20268th16/116%59%+0.43
24/05/20264th33/10%80%+0.80