13

Kobra Jenilou

6yo Gelding · 0-0

Argentan · Prix Du Chateau De Sassy - Attele · 1m 6f 64y

#1

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

98%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength11%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 3.1)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Cabourg 08/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 08/12C?C0 @ Meslay Du Maine 18/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR - · 1m4f203y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 10/02/2026 · Pos 13th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 010/02C?5 @ Vire 01/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 18 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 04 @ Lisieux 26/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 17 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 026/0346 @ Caen 25/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 0C0 @ Argentan 19/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 019/05C?5 @ Cabourg 24/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 05 @ Cabourg 14/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 014/085projClass-projected finish: 1st of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-14Cabourg51st1st0
2026-07-24Cabourg53rd3rd0
2026-05-19Argentan?1st1st0
2026-04-25Caen63rd3rd0
2026-03-26Lisieux41st1st0
2026-03-01Vire53rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/121/0319/0514/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 15100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +2.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/12/20252nd6/168%93%+0.25
18/12/20254th7/282%80%-0.02
10/02/202613th7/163%14%-0.49
01/03/20263rd9/276%88%+0.12
26/03/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
25/04/20263rd12/137%87%+0.50
19/05/20261st10/382%100%+0.18
24/07/20263rd4/179%87%+0.08
14/08/20261st2/189%100%+0.11