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4

Nacoma Run

3yo Filly · 0-0

Argentan · Prix Du Chateau De Carronges - Attele · 1m 6f 64y

#15

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#15

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Cabourg 07/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 1m2f41y Std 07/07C?C0 @ Saint-Malo 05/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 05/08C?4 @ Cabourg 28/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 028/084projClass-projected finish: 7th of 18
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-28Cabourg45th5th0
2026-08-05Saint-Malo?2nd2nd0
2026-07-07Cabourg?2nd2nd0
2026-06-10Caen?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/075/0828/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 1818% of fieldRange 7-18 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength9%

Delivery trend -36.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 15th of 18. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/07/20262nd33/10%92%+0.92
05/08/20262nd28/10%92%+0.92
28/08/20265th11/142%60%+0.18