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11

Nash Perrine

3yo Colt · 0-0

Argentan · Prix Du Chateau De Carronges - Attele · 1m 6f 64y

#5

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.2)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C3.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Lisieux 26/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 026/036C0 @ Caen 03/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 03/05C?C0 @ Vincennes 02/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 02/06C?3 @ Cabourg 24/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 024/0731 @ Vincennes 22/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 022/081projClass-projected finish: 13th of 18
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Vincennes18th8th0
2026-07-24Cabourg31st1st0
2026-07-01Enghien?0
2026-06-02Vincennes?3rd3rd0
2026-05-03Caen?1st1st0
2026-03-26Lisieux63rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/033/052/0624/0722/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1894% of fieldRange 2-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength62%

Delivery trend -11.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 18. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/03/20263rd18/15%80%+0.75
03/05/20261st13/266%100%+0.34
02/06/20263rd9/276%83%+0.07
24/07/20261st5/174%100%+0.26
22/08/20268th33/10%22%+0.22