13
Nectar De La Fye
3yo Colt · 0-0
Argentan · Prix Du Chateau De Carronges - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#17
Rank
Odds
70/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#17
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-21 | Vincennes | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Vincennes | 1 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Caen | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Vincennes | 1 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-31 | Vincennes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-27 | Vincennes | 2 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1824% of fieldRange 5-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength53%
Delivery trend -0.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 18.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/01/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 30/01/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 86% | +0.38 |
| 27/02/2026 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 31/03/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 11/04/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 09/05/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 05/06/2026 | 11th | 150/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 21/06/2026 | 8th | 100/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |