2

Neptune D'ave

3yo Filly · 0-0

Argentan · Prix Du Chateau De Carronges - Attele · 1m 6f 64y

#6

Rank

Odds

28/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Cabourg 14/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 014/07C?C0 @ Cabourg 04/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 04/08C?C0 @ Argentan 16/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 016/08C?projClass-projected finish: 4th of 18
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Vincennes40
2026-08-16Argentan?1st1st0
2026-08-04Cabourg?7th7th0
2026-07-14Cabourg?3rd3rd0
2026-07-02Lisieux60

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/074/0816/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1829% of fieldRange 7-18 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%

Delivery trend -34.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 18. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/07/20263rd50/10%85%+0.85
04/08/20267th13/266%45%-0.20
16/08/20261st3/184%100%+0.16