10
Neuilly De Play
3yo Filly · 0-0
Argentan · Prix Du Chateau De Carronges - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#18
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#18
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | Enghien | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Enghien | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Cabourg | 3 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Vincennes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Vincennes | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Caen | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 1812% of fieldRange 10-17 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength26%
Delivery trend -2.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 16th of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/03/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 58% | +0.32 |
| 25/04/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 11/05/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 16/05/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 91% | +0.33 |
| 05/06/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 16/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 86% | +0.33 |
| 10/07/2026 | 11th | 80/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 16/07/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 50% | +0.45 |
| 10/08/2026 | 7th | 66/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |