9

Nina Hagen D'or

3yo Filly · 0-0

Argentan · Prix Du Chateau De Carronges - Attele · 1m 6f 64y

#12

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Enghien 29/09/2025 · Pos 8th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 029/09C?C0 @ Caen 19/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 03/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 03/11C?4 @ Saint Galmier 16/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 1m4f203y Std 0C0 @ Caen 30/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 030/03C?C0 @ Enghien 27/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 05/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 05/05C?3 @ Cabourg 10/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 03 @ Enghien 18/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 018/073projClass-projected finish: 9th of 18
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-14Enghien10
2026-08-10Enghien?0
2026-07-18Enghien33rd3rd0
2026-07-10Cabourg38th8th0
2026-06-13Enghien20
2026-05-05Vincennes?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0916/025/0518/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1865% of fieldRange 1-17 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength61%

Delivery trend +4.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 18. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/09/20258th14/126%42%+0.15
19/10/20252nd22/10%90%+0.90
03/11/20256th10/147%17%-0.31
16/02/20264th8/158%57%-0.01
30/03/20262nd25/10%91%+0.91
27/04/20264th10/147%77%+0.30
05/05/20262nd9/276%89%+0.13
10/07/20268th40/10%53%+0.53
18/07/20263rd33/10%82%+0.82