17

Noneka

3yo Filly · 0-0

Argentan · Prix Du Chateau De Carronges - Attele · 1m 6f 64y

#9

Rank

Odds

55/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 2.6)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Lyon-Parilly 13/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 013/12C?2 @ Vincennes 10/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 010/0122 @ Vincennes 27/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 027/032C0 @ Vincennes 17/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 017/04C?1 @ Vincennes 05/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 05/061projClass-projected finish: 5th of 18
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-05Vincennes14th4th0
2026-05-06Vincennes?0
2026-04-17Vincennes?5th5th0
2026-03-27Vincennes21st1st0
2026-02-07Vincennes10
2026-01-10Vincennes22nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/1210/0127/0317/045/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1841% of fieldRange 8-18 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength23%

Delivery trend +4.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 18. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/12/20251st2/799%100%+0.02
10/01/20262nd4/179%88%+0.09
27/03/20261st3/184%100%+0.16
17/04/20265th10/382%60%-0.22
05/06/20264th12/137%77%+0.40