15

Nononino

3yo Colt · 0-0

Argentan · Prix Du Chateau De Carronges - Attele · 1m 6f 64y

#7

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 2.7)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Caen 04/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 04/09C?C0 @ Enghien 27/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 027/09C?C0 @ Vincennes 29/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 029/11C?2 @ Vincennes 11/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 011/042C0 @ Vincennes 28/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 028/04C?C0 @ Agen 17/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 1m5f10y Std 017/06C?C0 @ Vichy 25/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 025/08C?projClass-projected finish: 6th of 18
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-25Vichy?3rd3rd0
2026-08-13Pornichet20
2026-06-17Agen?1st1st0
2026-05-09Caen10
2026-04-28Vincennes?5th5th0
2026-04-11Vincennes24th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/0911/0425/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1888% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength63%

Delivery trend -1.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 18.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/09/20251st5/493%100%+0.07
27/09/20251st1/297%100%+0.03
29/11/20254th6/168%63%-0.06
11/04/20264th20/10%75%+0.75
28/04/20265th15/261%56%-0.05
17/06/20261st1/297%100%+0.03
25/08/20263rd10/382%78%-0.05