10

Falto Des Landiers

11yo Gelding · 10-3

Argentan · Prix Du Chateau De Chambois - Monte · 1m 6f 64y

#10

Rank

Odds

40/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.5 /10 (raw 6.4)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Vincennes 10/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 12510/043C0 @ Chateaubriant 22/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 1433 @ Caen 09/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 09/053C0 @ Vincennes 26/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 125C0 @ Agon-Coutainville 05/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 18 · OR - · 2m1f5y Std 05/07C?1 @ Cabourg 17/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 1413 @ Enghien 25/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 14325/073C0 @ Craon 07/09/2026 · Pos 12th of 17 · OR - · 1m5f174y Std 1304 @ Vincennes 17/09/2026 · Pos 13th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 12517/094projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-17Vincennes413th13th0
2026-09-07Craon?12th12th0
2026-07-25Enghien38th8th0
2026-07-17Cabourg110th10th0
2026-07-05Agon-Coutainville?7th7th0
2026-05-26Vincennes?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/0426/0525/0717/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 6-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength26%

Delivery trend -2.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/04/20268th40/10%36%+0.36
22/04/20267th50/10%57%+0.57
09/05/202611th80/10%29%+0.29
26/05/20267th33/10%57%+0.57
05/07/20267th100/10%65%+0.65
17/07/202610th100/10%31%+0.31
25/07/20268th80/10%50%+0.50
07/09/202612th66/10%31%+0.31
17/09/202613th66/10%8%+0.08