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9yo Gelding · 10-3

Argentan · Prix Du Chateau De Chambois - Monte · 1m 6f 64y

#7

Rank

Odds

30/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength1%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vichy 14/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 014/06C?C0 @ Hyeres 08/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 0C0 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 12/11/2025 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 1m4f148y Std 012/11C?C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 18/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 0C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 23/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f118y Std 023/12C?C0 @ Vichy 18/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 05 @ Agen 20/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 1m4f176y Std 020/0655 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 15/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 0C0 @ Beaumont-De-Lomagne 14/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 014/09C?projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-14Beaumont-De-Lomagne?9th9th0
2026-08-15Cagnes-sur-Mer53rd3rd0
2026-06-20Agen51st1st0
2026-05-18Vichy?6th6th0
2026-04-10Toulouse50
2026-01-05Cagnes-sur-Mer40

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0618/1220/0614/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength30%

Delivery trend +0.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/06/20251st5/287%100%+0.13
08/07/20254th1/297%67%-0.31
12/11/20259th100/10%33%+0.33
18/12/20251st14/126%100%+0.74
23/12/20255th25/10%71%+0.71
18/05/20266th40/10%62%+0.62
20/06/20261st17/255%100%+0.45
15/08/20263rd6/168%75%+0.07
14/09/20269th11/142%27%-0.15