9
Imelda
8yo Mare · 10-1
Argentan · Prix Du Chateau De Chambois - Monte · 1m 6f 64y
#5
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Craon | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | La Gacilly | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Enghien | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Vichy | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Enghien | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Vincennes | 3 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength55%
Delivery trend +4.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 29% | -0.48 |
| 11/03/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 57% | -0.22 |
| 01/04/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 75% | +0.49 |
| 18/04/2026 | 1st | 17/2 | 55% | 100% | +0.45 |
| 13/06/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 75% | +0.12 |
| 01/07/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 73% | -0.00 |
| 25/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 93% | +0.17 |
| 09/08/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 07/09/2026 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 75% | -0.13 |