1
Kap Orne
6yo Gelding · 10-3
Argentan · Prix Du Chateau De Chambois - Monte · 1m 6f 64y
#8
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Craon | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-16 | Enghien | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Pornichet | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Caen | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Vincennes | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-18 | Vire | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 6-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -6.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 70% | +0.54 |
| 14/10/2025 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 10/12/2025 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 91% | +0.54 |
| 31/12/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 64% | +0.06 |
| 06/02/2026 | 1st | 40/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 21/03/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 38% | +0.11 |
| 10/06/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 02/07/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 38% | -0.26 |
| 16/07/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 63% | +0.02 |