4

Lambada Du Goutier

5yo Filly · 9-13

Argentan · Prix Du Chateau De Chambois - Monte · 1m 6f 64y

#4

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength25%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Caen 12/10/2024 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 12812/10C?C0 @ Enghien 27/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 1m3f40y Std 132C0 @ Vincennes 21/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 13221/10C?C0 @ Vincennes 30/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 134C0 @ Vincennes 14/12/2025 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 13414/12C?C0 @ Vincennes 27/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 134C0 @ Vincennes 01/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 1391/02C?C0 @ Vincennes 31/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 1391 @ Vincennes 24/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 13924/041projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-14Enghien10
2026-06-21Vincennes?0
2026-05-29Vincennes?0
2026-04-24Vincennes11st1st0
2026-04-10Vincennes10
2026-03-31Vincennes?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/1030/111/0224/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength68%

Delivery trend -7.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/10/20242nd25/10%93%+0.93
27/07/20253rd18/15%67%+0.61
21/10/20255th40/10%50%+0.50
30/11/20252nd22/10%88%+0.88
14/12/20258th40/10%36%+0.36
27/12/20254th5/174%67%-0.07
01/02/20265th33/10%60%+0.60
31/03/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
24/04/20261st5/174%100%+0.26