4

Lambada Du Goutier
5yo Filly · 9-13
Argentan · Prix Du Chateau De Chambois - Monte · 1m 6f 64y
#4
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Enghien | 1 | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-21 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-29 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-24 | Vincennes | 1 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Vincennes | 1 | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-31 | Vincennes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength68%
Delivery trend -7.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10/2024 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 27/07/2025 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 67% | +0.61 |
| 21/10/2025 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 30/11/2025 | 2nd | 22/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 14/12/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 27/12/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 01/02/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 31/03/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 24/04/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |