2

Vasterbo Imtheman

11yo Gelding · 10-3

Argentan · Prix Du Chateau De Chambois - Monte · 1m 6f 64y

#9

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Pornichet 21/09/2024 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 14321/09C?C0 @ Cabourg 05/10/2024 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 125C0 @ Cordemais 28/02/2025 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 1m6f9y Std 14328/02C?C0 @ Vincennes 22/03/2025 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 139C0 @ Laval 24/04/2025 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 13924/04C?C0 @ Laval 19/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 04 @ Laval 28/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 14328/084C0 @ Angers 09/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 1m7f117y Std 1439/09C?projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Angers?6th6th0
2026-08-28Laval410th10th0
2026-08-19Laval?11th11th0
2025-04-24Laval?4th4th0
2025-03-22Vincennes?3rd3rd0
2025-02-28Cordemais?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0922/0328/089/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 6-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength6%

Delivery trend -4.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/09/20241st18/15%100%+0.95
05/10/20241st3/184%100%+0.16
28/02/20253rd5/493%82%-0.12
22/03/20253rd15/261%80%+0.19
24/04/20254th3/184%79%-0.06
19/08/202611th80/10%29%+0.29
28/08/202610th20/10%10%+0.10
09/09/20266th20/10%38%+0.38