2

Vasterbo Imtheman
11yo Gelding · 10-3
Argentan · Prix Du Chateau De Chambois - Monte · 1m 6f 64y
#9
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Angers | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Laval | 4 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | Laval | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-04-24 | Laval | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-03-22 | Vincennes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-02-28 | Cordemais | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 6-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength6%
Delivery trend -4.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09/2024 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |
| 05/10/2024 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 28/02/2025 | 3rd | 5/4 | 93% | 82% | -0.12 |
| 22/03/2025 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 80% | +0.19 |
| 24/04/2025 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 79% | -0.06 |
| 19/08/2026 | 11th | 80/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 28/08/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 09/09/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |