4
L'etincelle
5yo Filly · 0-0
Argentan · Prix Du Pmu Le Sulky - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#9
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength25%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-21 | Divonne Les Bains | 2 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Le Mans | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Vichy | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Caen | 6 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-08-27 | Les Sables | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-06-15 | Cherbourg | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1841% of fieldRange 12-18 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength14%
Delivery trend -3.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/02/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 19/05/2025 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 28/05/2025 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 05/06/2025 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 27/08/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 16/05/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 92% | +0.45 |
| 04/07/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 25/07/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 21/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 86% | -0.02 |