2

L'express De Play

5yo Gelding · 0-0

Argentan · Prix Du Pmu Le Sulky - Attele · 1m 6f 64y

#18

Rank

Odds

70/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#18

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 6.7)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Enghien 27/09/2025 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 027/09C?C0 @ Vincennes 31/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 11/12/2025 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 011/12C?C0 @ Vincennes 03/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 05 @ Nantes 16/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 016/0155 @ Mauquenchy 12/02/2026 · Pos 7th of 18 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Caen 02/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 02/03C?C0 @ Argentan 19/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 0C0 @ Enghien 25/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 025/06C?projClass-projected finish: 17th of 18
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-25Enghien?10th10th0
2026-05-19Argentan?9th9th0
2026-03-02Caen?8th8th0
2026-02-12Mauquenchy57th7th0
2026-01-16Nantes53rd3rd0
2026-01-03Vincennes?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/093/012/0325/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish18th of 180% of fieldRange 9-18 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength9%

Delivery trend -4.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 18th of 18. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/09/20258th11/142%53%+0.11
31/10/20255th33/10%73%+0.73
11/12/20258th12/137%46%+0.09
03/01/20263rd22/10%82%+0.82
16/01/20263rd14/126%80%+0.54
12/02/20267th9/276%65%-0.12
02/03/20268th9/153%50%-0.03
19/05/20269th28/10%33%+0.33
25/06/202610th40/10%10%+0.10