10

Lady Du Chatelet

5yo Filly · 0-0

Argentan · Prix Du Pmu Le Sulky - Attele · 1m 6f 64y

#8

Rank

Odds

60/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength1%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Argentan 12/05/2025 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 012/05C?C0 @ Argentan 25/05/2025 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 0C0 @ Lisieux 08/06/2025 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 08/06C?C0 @ Caen 16/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 134C0 @ Lisieux 03/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 03/07C?C0 @ Cabourg 01/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 0C0 @ Lisieux 24/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 024/09C?C0 @ Vincennes 31/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 03 @ Vincennes 06/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 06/063projClass-projected finish: 5th of 18
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-06Vincennes36th6th0
2026-04-26Chartres?0
2025-12-10Vincennes?0
2025-11-30Vincennes?0
2025-10-31Vincennes?2nd2nd0
2025-10-19Caen?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/0516/0624/096/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1853% of fieldRange 7-14 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength46%

Delivery trend +1.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 18.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/05/20257th28/10%60%+0.60
25/05/202510th50/10%31%+0.31
08/06/20259th80/10%43%+0.43
16/06/20251st5/287%100%+0.13
03/07/20251st8/158%100%+0.42
01/08/20251st5/174%100%+0.26
24/09/20251st8/158%100%+0.42
31/10/20252nd9/153%93%+0.41
06/06/20266th40/10%67%+0.67