1

Lafayette Du Bourg

5yo Gelding · 0-0

Argentan · Prix Du Pmu Le Sulky - Attele · 1m 6f 64y

#14

Rank

Odds

80/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 21/01/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 021/01C?C0 @ Vire 02/03/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Caen 20/03/2025 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 020/03C?C0 @ Caen 17/05/2025 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 0C0 @ Cabourg 01/08/2025 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 01/08C?C0 @ Argentan 23/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 18 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 0C0 @ Caen 02/03/2026 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 02/03C?C0 @ Vichy 29/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 0C0 @ Cabourg 01/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f41y Std 01/09C?projClass-projected finish: 14th of 18
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-01Cabourg?7th7th0
2026-06-29Vichy?2nd2nd0
2026-06-24Cherbourg?0
2026-05-27Caen?0
2026-03-19Caen40
2026-03-02Caen?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0117/052/031/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1835% of fieldRange 6-14 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength49%

Delivery trend +1.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 18.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/01/20257th33/10%33%+0.33
02/03/20252nd7/163%88%+0.24
20/03/20255th20/10%67%+0.67
17/05/20257th11/142%54%+0.12
01/08/20258th40/10%53%+0.53
23/12/20253rd6/168%88%+0.20
02/03/20269th66/10%43%+0.43
29/06/20262nd12/137%89%+0.52
01/09/20267th33/10%50%+0.50