8

Lorezza Era

5yo Filly · 0-0

Argentan · Prix Du Pmu Le Sulky - Attele · 1m 6f 64y

#2

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

33%

Place Prob

27%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength3%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Graignes 13/04/2025 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 013/04C?C0 @ Caen 04/05/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 03/06/2025 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 03/06C?C0 @ Lisieux 03/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 0C0 @ Cabourg 01/08/2025 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 01/08C?C0 @ Saint-Malo 12/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 0C0 @ Argentan 19/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 019/05C?5 @ Cabourg 03/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 05 @ Vincennes 11/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 011/095projClass-projected finish: 10th of 18
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Vincennes58th8th0
2026-07-03Cabourg53rd3rd0
2026-05-19Argentan?1st1st0
2026-03-15Graignes?0
2026-03-05Laval?0
2025-08-12Saint-Malo?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/043/0719/0511/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1888% of fieldRange 3-13 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength58%

Delivery trend +1.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 18.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/04/20253rd4/179%85%+0.06
04/05/20251st9/276%100%+0.24
03/06/20258th33/10%36%+0.36
03/07/20252nd12/137%91%+0.54
01/08/20259th33/10%47%+0.47
12/08/20255th22/10%69%+0.69
19/05/20261st15/890%100%+0.10
03/07/20263rd7/282%87%+0.05
11/09/20268th22/10%53%+0.53