5

Loup D'ardennes

5yo Gelding · 0-0

Argentan · Prix Du Pmu Le Sulky - Attele · 1m 6f 64y

#6

Rank

Odds

18/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength20%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 1.7 /10 (raw 3.6)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Reims 16/04/2025 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 016/04C?C0 @ Caen 28/05/2025 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 0C0 @ Cabourg 29/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 029/08C?C0 @ Argentan 23/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 18 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 05 @ Angers 28/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 1m7f117y Std 028/015C0 @ Angers 01/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m7f117y Std 06 @ Caen 16/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 016/056C0 @ Cabourg 18/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 018/08C?projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 18
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Angers?0
2026-08-18Cabourg?1st1st0
2026-07-28Meslay Du Maine?0
2026-05-16Caen61st1st0
2026-04-13Argentan?0
2026-04-01Angers?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0423/1216/0518/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1876% of fieldRange 1-13 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength82%

Delivery trend +8.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 18. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/04/20256th7/163%50%-0.13
28/05/20258th9/153%46%-0.06
29/08/20252nd18/15%93%+0.88
23/12/20256th8/158%71%+0.13
28/01/20262nd18/15%90%+0.85
01/04/20263rd12/137%85%+0.48
16/05/20261st16/116%100%+0.84
18/08/20261st5/174%100%+0.26