15

Love Kills

5yo Gelding · 0-0

Argentan · Prix Du Pmu Le Sulky - Attele · 1m 6f 64y

#1

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

50%

Place Prob

33%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength18%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 1.5 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 14/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 13914/11C?C0 @ Maure De Bretagne 02/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 05 @ Pontchateau 15/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 18 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 015/025C0 @ Le Croise-Laroche 02/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Le Croise-Laroche 30/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 1m6f9y Std 030/03C?4 @ Enghien 18/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 0C0 @ La Capelle 03/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 03/05C?C0 @ Feurs 12/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Beaumont-De-Lomagne 13/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 1m4f148y Std 013/07C?projClass-projected finish: 1st of 18
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-13Beaumont-De-Lomagne?1st1st0
2026-06-12Feurs?2nd2nd0
2026-05-03La Capelle?1st1st0
2026-04-18Enghien42nd2nd0
2026-03-30Le Croise-Laroche?1st1st0
2026-03-02Le Croise-Laroche?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/112/033/0513/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1894% of fieldRange 6-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength57%

Delivery trend -4.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 18. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/11/20254th14/126%77%+0.51
02/02/20261st5/174%100%+0.26
15/02/20261st9/276%100%+0.24
02/03/20262nd4/179%93%+0.14
30/03/20261st3/184%100%+0.16
18/04/20262nd7/163%93%+0.30
03/05/20261st11/486%100%+0.14
12/06/20262nd6/594%89%-0.05
13/07/20261st2/189%100%+0.11