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6

Magellano Sun

4yo Gelding · 0-0

Argentan · Prix Du Chateau Des Ducs D'alencon - Attele · 1m 6f 64y

#9

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength8%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 08/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 08/11C?C0 @ Vincennes 03/12/2025 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 26/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 026/12C?C0 @ Vincennes 17/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 04 @ Enghien 06/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 1m6f64y 06/0345 @ Mauquenchy 02/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 04 @ Vincennes 30/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 030/044C0 @ Cabourg 31/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 02 @ Divonne Les Bains 20/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 020/082projClass-projected finish: 4th of 18
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Chartres20
2026-08-20Divonne Les Bains21st1st0
2026-07-31Cabourg?4th4th0
2026-04-30Vincennes44th4th0
2026-04-02Mauquenchy52nd2nd0
2026-03-06Enghien43rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/1117/0230/0420/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1876% of fieldRange 6-15 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength44%

Delivery trend -5.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 18. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/11/20255th33/10%64%+0.64
03/12/20257th22/10%54%+0.54
26/12/20254th40/10%73%+0.73
17/02/20264th33/10%73%+0.73
06/03/20263rd22/10%86%+0.86
02/04/20262nd9/153%93%+0.41
30/04/20264th10/147%70%+0.23
31/07/20264th50/10%70%+0.70
20/08/20261st5/493%100%+0.07