3
Manhattan France
4yo Filly · 0-0
Argentan · Prix Du Chateau Des Ducs D'alencon - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#15
Rank
Odds
70/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-19 | Vincennes | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Vincennes | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | Vincennes | 3 | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-07 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-02-22 | Vincennes | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-01-29 | Vincennes | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 1812% of fieldRange 5-18 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength38%
Delivery trend -3.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 16th of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06/2025 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 79% | +0.79 |
| 12/08/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 07/09/2025 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 02/01/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 91% | +0.65 |
| 13/01/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 90% | +0.22 |
| 29/01/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 22/02/2026 | 2nd | 22/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 05/06/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 19/06/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |