18
Marie Oh Fredlau
4yo Filly · 0-0
Argentan · Prix Du Chateau Des Ducs D'alencon - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#6
Rank
Odds
18/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Enghien | 1 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Enghien | 2 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Vichy | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Vincennes | 1 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-07 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-12-21 | Vincennes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1841% of fieldRange 12-18 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength12%
Delivery trend -9.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10/2025 | 1st | 50/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 02/11/2025 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |
| 30/11/2025 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 21/12/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 07/03/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 92% | +0.29 |
| 21/03/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 92% | +0.55 |
| 30/06/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 56% | +0.03 |
| 25/07/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 14/08/2026 | 9th | 22/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |