14
Metidja
4yo Filly · 0-0
Argentan · Prix Du Chateau Des Ducs D'alencon - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#13
Rank
Odds
35/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Vincennes | 2 | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-29 | Vincennes | 1 | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-14 | Enghien | 1 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Enghien | 2 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Enghien | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Vincennes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1865% of fieldRange 2-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength66%
Delivery trend +1.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 18.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/12/2025 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 30/12/2025 | 1st | 16/1 | 16% | 100% | +0.84 |
| 25/01/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 85% | +0.29 |
| 21/03/2026 | 11th | 20/1 | 0% | 23% | +0.23 |
| 02/05/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 29/05/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 01/07/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 75% | +0.59 |
| 25/07/2026 | 3rd | 28/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 14/08/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |