8

Mi Fa Sol

4yo Filly · 0-0

Argentan · Prix Du Chateau Des Ducs D'alencon - Attele · 1m 6f 64y

#3

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength8%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.3 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Cordemais 30/03/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 1m6f9y Std 030/03C?C0 @ Vincennes 13/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 05/12/2025 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 05/12C?5 @ Caen 19/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 14/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 18 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 014/04C?C0 @ Vincennes 02/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 04 @ Vincennes 12/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 012/0644 @ Vincennes 11/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 18 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 011/094projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 18
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Vincennes43rd3rd0
2026-08-28Cabourg60
2026-06-12Vincennes42nd2nd0
2026-06-02Vincennes?2nd2nd0
2026-04-28Vincennes?0
2026-04-14Vincennes?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0319/0312/0611/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1882% of fieldRange 6-18 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength31%

Delivery trend +6.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 18. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/03/20251st8/1597%100%+0.03
13/11/20255th8/1597%64%-0.34
05/12/20258th11/486%46%-0.39
19/03/20261st15/261%100%+0.39
14/04/20262nd11/1094%94%-0.00
02/06/20262nd9/488%90%+0.02
12/06/20262nd11/142%93%+0.51
11/09/20263rd3/184%88%+0.04