7

Mistral Jenilou

4yo Gelding · 0-0

Argentan · Prix Du Chateau Des Ducs D'alencon - Attele · 1m 6f 64y

#4

Rank

Odds

11/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 2.8)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Cabourg 15/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 015/08C?C0 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 12/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 1m4f148y Std 012/11C?C0 @ Bordeaux Le Bouscat 26/12/2025 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 1m4f148y Std 026/12C?C0 @ Cabourg 21/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 021/07C?projClass-projected finish: 6th of 18
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-25Vichy?0
2026-07-21Cabourg?1st1st0
2026-07-04Enghien40
2025-12-26Bordeaux Le Bouscat?7th7th0
2025-11-12Bordeaux Le Bouscat?1st1st0
2025-08-15Cabourg?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0812/1126/1221/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1853% of fieldRange 4-18 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength15%

Delivery trend -7.2% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 18. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/08/20252nd5/287%89%+0.02
12/11/20251st10/382%100%+0.18
26/12/20257th5/696%33%-0.62
21/07/20261st10/1195%100%+0.05