7

Mistral Jenilou
4yo Gelding · 0-0
Argentan · Prix Du Chateau Des Ducs D'alencon - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#4
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 2.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Vichy | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-07-21 | Cabourg | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Enghien | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2025-12-26 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-12 | Bordeaux Le Bouscat | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-08-15 | Cabourg | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1853% of fieldRange 4-18 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength15%
Delivery trend -7.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 89% | +0.02 |
| 12/11/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 26/12/2025 | 7th | 5/6 | 96% | 33% | -0.62 |
| 21/07/2026 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |